伊朗异质主体的最优货币政策(1989-2017):一个基于时间一致性问题的模型

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Iranian Economic Review Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI:10.22059/IER.2021.84148
Roya Kanour, Abbas Alavi Rad, Akbar Akbar, Akbar Mirzapour Babajan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

政策规则作为货币政策中最容易被接受的方法之一,是政策制定研究的重要特征之一。政策规则规定了政策工具应如何应对经济形势的变化。了解货币政策的工具和标准,如目标通胀的变化、价格稳定和就业的相对权重的变化及其对包括家庭和经济企业在内的社会不同阶层的影响,可以帮助经济决策者提高货币政策的有效性。本文从公共部门金融的角度研究了最优货币政策的时间一致性和结构,涉及伊朗经济主体以保持流动性和名义资产形式的异质行为。该研究利用了1989年第一季度至2017年第四季度的时间序列数据。为分析开放经济体的货币政策,提出了一种新的凯恩斯动态随机一般均衡模型。结果表明,货币政策的再分配效应导致时间一致性与高通胀之间联系的断裂;属于最优货币和财政政策的特征。
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Optimal Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents in Iran (1989-2017): A Model Based on Time Consistency Problem
Policy rules as one of the most acceptable methods in monetary policies are among the significant characteristics of researches about policymaking. A policy rule states how the policy tools should react to changes in economic situations. Understanding the tools and criteria of monetary policies such as changes in target inflation, changes in relative weights of prices stability and employment, and its effect on different sections of society including households and economic firms can help economic policymakers to increase the effectiveness of monetary policies. This paper studies the time consistency and structure of optimal monetary policy from the viewpoint of public sector finance concerning the heterogeneous behavior of economic agents in form of keeping liquidity and nominal assets in Iran. The study utilizes time-series data quarterly from Q1 1989 to Q4 2017. A new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have been developed for monetary policy analysis in open economies. Results show that the redistribution effect of monetary policy leads to breakage of the link between time consistency and high inflation; a characteristic that belongs to optimal monetary and fiscal policies.
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来源期刊
Iranian Economic Review
Iranian Economic Review Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
0.70
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