埃塞俄比亚西南部农业社区气候变化感知与脆弱性评估

IF 3 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Climate Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI:10.3390/cli11090183
D. O. Gemeda, D. Korecha, W. Garedew
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究评估了埃塞俄比亚西南部农业社区对气候变化的看法和脆弱性。气候变化脆弱性评估是制定气候变化适应战略的先决条件。采用多级聚类抽样技术从奥罗米亚州西南部的六个地区中选择了四个。通过使用五种家庭资本:自然资本、社会资本、金融资本、物质资本和人力资本,使用封闭式和开放式问卷来评估家庭对气候变化的看法和对气候变化脆弱性的程度。数据来自4个地区的442户家庭:Jimma Arjo、Bako Tibe、Chewaka和Sekoru。使用家庭生计脆弱性指数评估了农业社区的脆弱性。共采用了来自五个国家首都的40项指标来计算家庭生计对气候变化的脆弱性。家庭对气候变化的感知与降雨模式(75.6%,p<0.001)、温度模式(69.7%,p<0.001,而Jimma Arjo区的家庭不太容易受到气候变化的影响(0.47)。家庭易受气候变化影响主要与干旱的发生、缺乏急需的基础设施以及机构支持薄弱有关。家庭中也缺乏与金融组织的联系。这项研究的结果将有助于决策者应对气候变化的影响。为了一方面支持灾害风险管理,另一方面提高脆弱社会对气候变化的抵御能力,我们建议对该地区其余地区进行详细评估。
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Climate Change Perception and Vulnerability Assessment of the Farming Communities in the Southwest Parts of Ethiopia
This study assesses the perceptions and vulnerability of the farming communities to climate change in the southwestern parts of Ethiopia. Climate change vulnerability assessment is a prerequisite to designing climate change adaptation strategies. A multistage cluster sampling technique was used to select four of the six zones from the southwestern parts of Oromia. Close-ended and open-ended questionnaires were used to assess household perceptions of climate change and the degree of vulnerability to climate change by using five household capitals: natural, social, financial, physical, and human capital. Data were collected from 442 households in 4 districts: Jimma Arjo, Bako Tibe, Chewaka, and Sekoru. The vulnerability of the farming communities was assessed using the households’ livelihood vulnerability index. A total of forty indicators from five capitals were applied to calculate household livelihood vulnerability to climate change. Household perceptions of climate change had a statistically significant relationship with changes in rainfall pattern (75.6%, p < 0.001), temperature pattern (69.7%, p < 0.001), drought (41.6%, p = 0.016), flood (44.1%, p = 0.000), and occurrence of early (53.2%, p < 0.001) and late rain (55.9%, p < 0.001). The results show that households in the Sekoru district were the most vulnerable (0.61), while households in the Jimma Arjo district were less vulnerable (0.47) to the effect of climate change. Household vulnerability to climate change is mainly related to the occurrence of drought, lack of much-needed infrastructure facilities, and weak institutional support. Links with financial organizations are also lacking in the household. The findings of this study will help policymakers to address the impact of climate change. To support disaster risk management on the one hand and increase the resilience of vulnerable societies to climate change on the other, we recommend a detailed assessment of the remaining districts of the region.
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来源期刊
Climate
Climate Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
5.40%
发文量
172
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: Climate is an independent, international and multi-disciplinary open access journal focusing on climate processes of the earth, covering all scales and involving modelling and observation methods. The scope of Climate includes: Global climate Regional climate Urban climate Multiscale climate Polar climate Tropical climate Climate downscaling Climate process and sensitivity studies Climate dynamics Climate variability (Interseasonal, interannual to decadal) Feedbacks between local, regional, and global climate change Anthropogenic climate change Climate and monsoon Cloud and precipitation predictions Past, present, and projected climate change Hydroclimate.
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