理解运费预测准确性的影响因素——文献的元回归分析

IF 1 Q3 ENGINEERING, MARINE Journal of Eta Maritime Science Pub Date : 2022-03-30 DOI:10.4274/jems.2022.87894
Cemile Solak Fışkın, E. F. Akgül
{"title":"理解运费预测准确性的影响因素——文献的元回归分析","authors":"Cemile Solak Fışkın, E. F. Akgül","doi":"10.4274/jems.2022.87894","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"study attempts exploring these on freight rate forecasting line aim, this study follows a Meta-Regression methodology provide a comprehensive and systematic review of prior freight rate forecasting studies. Most of the previous literature reviews were based on qualitative analysis and lacked quantitative We organized this paper as follows: Section 2 contains the proposed hypotheses based on the literature on freight rate forecasting models. Section 3 describes the materials and Abstract Forecasting freight rates has been a topic of discussion for decades. Even though freight rate forecasting is regarded as a critical research topic in shipping, the literature lacks a systematic empirical account of how to obtain more reliable and accurate freight rate forecasts. This study uses meta-regression to synthesize the literature on freight rate forecasting and to test various accuracy influencers. The study confirms that the accuracy of the freight rate forecasts depends significantly on data frequency, forecasting horizon and method, market type, sample size, and the inclusion of explanatory variables.","PeriodicalId":41280,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Eta Maritime Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Understanding the Influencers of Freight Rate Forecasting Accuracy: A Meta-Regression Analysis of the Literature\",\"authors\":\"Cemile Solak Fışkın, E. F. Akgül\",\"doi\":\"10.4274/jems.2022.87894\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"study attempts exploring these on freight rate forecasting line aim, this study follows a Meta-Regression methodology provide a comprehensive and systematic review of prior freight rate forecasting studies. Most of the previous literature reviews were based on qualitative analysis and lacked quantitative We organized this paper as follows: Section 2 contains the proposed hypotheses based on the literature on freight rate forecasting models. Section 3 describes the materials and Abstract Forecasting freight rates has been a topic of discussion for decades. Even though freight rate forecasting is regarded as a critical research topic in shipping, the literature lacks a systematic empirical account of how to obtain more reliable and accurate freight rate forecasts. This study uses meta-regression to synthesize the literature on freight rate forecasting and to test various accuracy influencers. The study confirms that the accuracy of the freight rate forecasts depends significantly on data frequency, forecasting horizon and method, market type, sample size, and the inclusion of explanatory variables.\",\"PeriodicalId\":41280,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Eta Maritime Science\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-03-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Eta Maritime Science\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.4274/jems.2022.87894\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, MARINE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Eta Maritime Science","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.4274/jems.2022.87894","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, MARINE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究试图探索这些关于运价预测的线性目标,本研究遵循元回归方法对以往的运价预测研究进行全面、系统的回顾。以往的文献综述大多基于定性分析,缺乏定量分析。我们将本文组织如下:第2节包含基于运费预测模型文献的假设。第3节介绍了材料和摘要运费预测几十年来一直是一个讨论的话题。尽管运费预测被视为航运领域的一个关键研究课题,但文献中缺乏关于如何获得更可靠、更准确的运费预测的系统实证说明。本研究使用元回归来综合运费预测的文献,并测试各种准确性影响因素。研究证实,运费预测的准确性在很大程度上取决于数据频率、预测范围和方法、市场类型、样本量以及解释变量的包含情况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Understanding the Influencers of Freight Rate Forecasting Accuracy: A Meta-Regression Analysis of the Literature
study attempts exploring these on freight rate forecasting line aim, this study follows a Meta-Regression methodology provide a comprehensive and systematic review of prior freight rate forecasting studies. Most of the previous literature reviews were based on qualitative analysis and lacked quantitative We organized this paper as follows: Section 2 contains the proposed hypotheses based on the literature on freight rate forecasting models. Section 3 describes the materials and Abstract Forecasting freight rates has been a topic of discussion for decades. Even though freight rate forecasting is regarded as a critical research topic in shipping, the literature lacks a systematic empirical account of how to obtain more reliable and accurate freight rate forecasts. This study uses meta-regression to synthesize the literature on freight rate forecasting and to test various accuracy influencers. The study confirms that the accuracy of the freight rate forecasts depends significantly on data frequency, forecasting horizon and method, market type, sample size, and the inclusion of explanatory variables.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
11.10%
发文量
24
审稿时长
10 weeks
期刊最新文献
Temporal Analysis of Factors Influencing Countries’ Maritime Trade Performance with CRITIC-based VIKOR Method Modeling Longshore Sediment Transport for Sustainable Coastal Management in the Damietta Port Area Cruise Passengers’ Perceived Service Quality During the Pandemic Period via User-Generated Content Effect of Exhaust Emissions Produced by Fishing Vessels on Air Pollution: A Case Study of Purse Seine Vessels Operating in the Black Sea Energy and Exergy Analysis of Diesel-Hydrogen and Diesel-Ammonia Fuel Blends in Diesel Engine
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1