南亚和东南亚的地震灾害

A. A. Shah, Talha Qadri, S. Khwaja
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引用次数: 15

摘要

大量的地质研究表明,亚洲大部分地区都有地震风险,这在东南亚尤为明显。这一地区的构造使地质调查人员有理由认为,在不久的将来,该地区很容易遭受毁灭性的大地震。这让我们想起2015年尼泊尔、2011年日本、2004年亚齐和泰国海岸以及2005年克什米尔和新奥尔良遭受的重大生命财产损失。如果建立适当的科学和行政框架,这种破坏的例子可以在更大程度上减少。上述大多数例子显然都缺乏这一点。以前的研究表明,科学家和行政当局应该共同努力,绘制出地面上的实际脆弱性,同时教育人们了解地震的可能原因,以及如何将破坏降到最低。在这里,我们进一步表明,政治动荡的过去和持续不稳定的政治问题的国家更有可能在保护其人民免受灾害方面得分较低。如果一个国家不致力于根除腐败,这个分数就会大幅下降,因为它会把普通的灾难变成怪物。我们进一步表明,南亚和东南亚地区是相对年轻的国家,仍处于后殖民时期,并在很大程度上参与加强其经济以及清理后殖民问题。虽然人均国内生产总值(gdp)的增长和识字率的体面提高是赢得与灾害斗争的好消息,但这些国家必须努力消除腐败,并在科学研究和对地震灾害的认识上投入更多资金。
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Living with earthquake hazards in South and South East Asia
A large number of geological studies have shown that most of the Asian regions are prone to earthquake risks, and this is particularly significant in SE Asia. The tectonics of this region allow the geological investigators to argue for severe vulnerability to major and devastating earthquakes in the near future. This remind us of the devastations of Nepal in 2015, of Japan in 2011, of the significant destruction of life and property at Acehnese and Thai coasts in 2004, and of Kashmir and New Orleans in 2005. Such example of destructions could be minimized to a greater extent if proper scientific and administrative framework are established. This was surely lacking in most of the above examples. And previous studies have suggested that scientists and administrative authorities should work together to map the actual vulnerabilities on ground, and simultaneously educate people about the probable causes of earthquakes and how to minimize the destruction. Here we further show that nations with a turbulence political past and an ongoing unstable political problem are more likely to score less on securing its people from disasters. And this score can significantly deteriorate if a nation does not work on eradication of corruption as it can make monsters out of ordinary disasters. We further show that South and Southeast Asian region are relatively young nations that are still in post-colonial period and are largely involved in strengthening of their economies as well as cleaning of the post-colonial problems. While the increasing values of gross domestic product (GPD) per capita and a decent rise in literacy rates are good news to win battle with disasters, these nations have to work really hard to eradicate corruption and spend more on scientific research and awareness about earthquake disasters.
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