gbsamji - kotovi粘土区供坝可利用雨水资源的模拟估算

Kassa Issifou Mounou Sambieni, F. P. Codo
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Considering the Nash-Sutcliffe model Efficiency coefficient (NSE), \nthe performance of GR4J model during calibration is slightly higher than the \nperformance of the HBV model, while during the validation, the contrary is \nnoticed. The annual rainfall average simulated is 1117.7 mm/year while the average observed is 1104.6 mm/year over the period 1981-2005. By 2050, on \none hand, the annual flow rate \nvalues will vary from -19.2 to -11.9%, while the actual \nevapotranspiration will \nvary between 0.5 and -5.8; on another hand, the \npotential evapotranspiration and the annual precipitation remain constant. An \naverage flow of 187 millions m3/year for \nannual average water depth of 1094 mm is obtained at Lanta rain station, which \ncovers an area of 1664.47 km2, while this flow enabled an average \nflow of 327.5 millons m3/year to be obtained at the \nvirtual station of our study area of 2908.15 km2. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

洪水和流量数据有助于确定堤坝的尺寸,堤坝通常包括调节流量以确保水量的疏散装置。本研究的目的是通过依次使用HBV(Hydroiska Byrans Vattenbalansavdelning)和GR4J(具有4个日常参数的农村工程模型)气候模型来估计位于贝宁Couffo河流域的Gbedji Kotovi村的可用水资源。水位过程线是根据校准期(1994-1999年)与验证期(1982-1988年)不同的情况进行模拟的。考虑到Nash-Sutcliffe模型的效率系数(NSE),GR4J模型在校准过程中的性能略高于HBV模型的性能,而在验证过程中,则相反。1981-2005年期间,模拟的年平均降雨量为1117.7毫米/年,而观测到的平均降雨量为1104.6毫米/年。一方面,到2050年,年流量值将在-19.2%至-11.9%之间变化,而实际蒸散量将在0.5至-5.8之间变化;另一方面,潜在蒸散量和年降水量保持不变。在占地1664.47平方公里的Lanta雨水站,年平均水深为1094毫米,平均流量为1.87亿立方米/年,而在我们研究区域2908.15平方公里的虚拟站点,该流量使平均流量达到3.275亿立方米/每年。对应于10年、25年和50年重现期的流量在虚拟站出口的5.51至12.67m3/s之间变化;而大屿山站出口的流量在3.6至6.6m3/s之间。然而,模拟的水分位数不能完全动员起来;由于用途,它们经历了上游和下游。因此,Gbedji Kotovi地区需要实施综合水资源管理战略,包括修建堤坝。
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Modelling Estimation of the Available Rainwater Resource in Gbédji-Kotovi Clay Area for Supplying Dikes and Dams
Floods and flows data are useful for dimensioning of dikes and dams which often include evacuation devices that regulate flows to ensure the volumes of water. The objective of this study is to estimate the available water resource in the village of Gbedji-Kotovi, located in the watershed of Couffo river in Benin by using sequentially, the HBV (Hydrologiska Byrans Vattenbalansavdelning) and GR4J (Rural Engineering model with 4 daily parameters) climate models. Hydrographs of water levels are simulated according to the calibration period (1994-1999) different from the validation one (1982-1988). Considering the Nash-Sutcliffe model Efficiency coefficient (NSE), the performance of GR4J model during calibration is slightly higher than the performance of the HBV model, while during the validation, the contrary is noticed. The annual rainfall average simulated is 1117.7 mm/year while the average observed is 1104.6 mm/year over the period 1981-2005. By 2050, on one hand, the annual flow rate values will vary from -19.2 to -11.9%, while the actual evapotranspiration will vary between 0.5 and -5.8; on another hand, the potential evapotranspiration and the annual precipitation remain constant. An average flow of 187 millions m3/year for annual average water depth of 1094 mm is obtained at Lanta rain station, which covers an area of 1664.47 km2, while this flow enabled an average flow of 327.5 millons m3/year to be obtained at the virtual station of our study area of 2908.15 km2. The flow rates corresponding to the return periods of 10, 25 and 50 years vary from 5.51 to 12.67 m3/s at the outlet of the virtual station; while those at the outlet of Lanta station vary from 3.6 to 6.6 m3/s. However, the simulated water quantiles cannot be fully mobilized; because of the uses, they undergo upstream and downstream. Thus, Gbedji-Kotovi locality requires the implementation of an integrated water resource management strategy that includes the construction of dikes and dams.
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