股票市场波动对评估尼日利亚增长-退化关系不对称性的中介作用

Abdullah AlGhazali, Nana Ize Musa, S. S. Ibrahim, A. Samour
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用1984年至2020年的数据,探讨了股票市场波动在尼日利亚经济增长和环境退化关系中的中介作用。研究采用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)和非参数不对称因果关系模型。然而,模型1中的Wald检验表明,二氧化碳与经济增长之间存在较弱的长期不对称关系,而模型2的研究结果表明,股票市场波动(SMV)在长期增长-二氧化碳关系中具有很强的不对称效应。非线性模型的结果验证了倒u型生长-退化关系符合EKC假设。模型1的结果表明,投资对二氧化碳的短期和长期影响都很大。另一方面,模型2的结果表明,经济增长的正成分对尼日利亚的co2有显著的正向影响。然而,经济增长的负面成分对二氧化碳的影响是负面的。此外,动态因果关系模型表明:(1)co2与GDP负分量之间存在反馈因果关系;(ii)从二氧化碳到GDP正成分的单向因果关系。同样,非线性因果检验的结果显示CO2与GDP之间存在反馈因果关系。这一发现的含义表明,虽然在促进环境可持续性的努力中必须控制经济增长的不对称特性,但在尼日利亚和其他发展中经济体,股票市场在扩大绿色投资资金获取渠道方面可以发挥专门的作用
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Mediating role of stock market volatility to evaluate asymmetries in the growth-degradation nexus in Nigeria
This study explores the mediating role of stock market volatility in the economic growth and environmental degradation nexus in Nigeria using data covering period from 1984 until 2020. The study uses Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) and a nonparametric asymmetric causality model. While the Wald test in model 1 reveals evidence of weak long-run asymmetric nexus between C02 and economic growth however, findings in model 2 indicates that stock market volatility (SMV) exerts a strong asymmetric effect in growth-C02 relation in the long-run. The result of nonlinear model validates the inverted U-shaped growth-degradation nexus consistent with EKC hypothesis. The finding in model 1 reveals that investment exerts a strong impact on C02 in both the short-run and long-run. On the other hand, the results in model 2 show that the positive component of economic growth has a positive and significant impact on C02 in Nigeria. However, the negative component of economic growth has a negative impact on C02. Moreover, the dynamic causality model reveals: (i) a feedback causality between C02 and the negative component of GDP; and (ii) a unidirectional causality flowing from C02 to the positive component of GDP. Similarly, result of nonlinear causality test reveals a feedback causality between CO2 and GDP. The implication of the finding suggests that while asymmetric properties of economic growth must be controlled in efforts of promoting environmental sustainability, the stock market has a dedicated role to play in widening access to funds for green investment in Nigeria and other developing economies
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
16.00%
发文量
83
审稿时长
8 weeks
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