贸易开放对收入不平等的影响:来自印度尼西亚的经验证据

Signifikan Pub Date : 2018-01-12 DOI:10.15408/sjie.v7i1.5527
Lestari Agusalim, Fanny Suzuda Pohan
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引用次数: 15

摘要

本研究采用向量误差修正模型(VECM)分析了国际贸易开放对印尼收入不平等的影响。所使用的数据是二级数据,即进出口值、国内生产总值、人均国内生产总值,公开失业率和基尼指数。研究结果表明,在短期内,贸易开放对收入不平等具有显著的负面影响。然而,从长远来看,它在降低收入不平等率方面没有显示出任何显著效果。脉冲响应函数(IRF)得出结论,除第三年外,收入不平等给出了积极的响应。基于预测误差方差分解(FEDV),贸易开放度对印尼收入不平等的影响不显著,但经济增长对印尼收入差距的影响显著。然而,从长远来看,经济增长使收入不平等现象比短期内更严重。DOI:10.15408/jie.v7i1.5527
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Trade Openness Effect on Income Inequality: Empirical Evidence From Indonesia
This research analyzed the effect of international trade openness to income inequality in Indonesia using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The data used is the secondary data, which are the export-import value, gross domestic product (GDP), GDP per capita, open unemployment rate, and Gini index. The results of this study indicate that in the short term the trade openness has negative impact significantly on the income inequality. However, in the long-run, it does not show any significant effect in decreasing the income inequality rate. The impulse response function (IRF) concluded that income inequality gives a positive response, except on the third year. Based on the forecast error variance decomposition (FEDV), the trade openness does not provide any significant contribution in effecting the income inequality in Indonesia, but economic growth does. Nevertheless, in long-term, the economic growth makes the income inequality getting worse than in the short-term. DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v7i1.5527
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发文量
30
审稿时长
8 weeks
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