使用监督机器学习模型进行新冠肺炎未来预测

N. Jayanthi, Sumithra R. Gitanjaliwadhwa, T. Y. Sri
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引用次数: 25

摘要

新冠肺炎在全世界的传播使人类处于危险之中。可能是最大经济体的资产感到担忧,因为这种疾病具有巨大的传染性和传染性。ML模型推测受新冠肺炎影响的即将到来的患者数量的能力,这被普遍认为是对人类的可能威胁。具体而言,在本次检查中使用了四个标准估计模型线性回归(LR)、最小总收缩和确定管理员(LASSO)支持向量机(SVM)来计算新冠肺炎的破坏成分。每一个模型都有三种预期,例如,最近感染病例的数量、通过的数量和康复的数量,但实际上无法预测患者的确切结果。为了解决这个问题,利用指数平滑(ES)的拟议策略预测了未来30天新冠肺炎病例的数量,以及社会隔离和封锁等预防性估计对新冠肺炎传播的影响。©2021卡拉德尼兹工业大学。保留所有权利。
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COVID-19 future forecasting using supervised machine learning models
The spread of COVID-19 in the entire world has put the humankind in danger. The assets of probably the biggest economies are worried because of the enormous infectivity and contagiousness of this illness. The ability of ML models to conjecture the quantity of forthcoming patients influenced by COVID-19 which is by and by considered as a likely danger to humanity. Specifically, four standard estimating models linear regression (LR), least total shrinkage and determination administrator (LASSO) Support vector Machine (SVM) have been utilized in this examination to figure the undermining components of COVID-19. Three sorts of expectations are made by every one of the models, for example, the quantity of recently tainted cases, the quantity of passing, and the quantity of recuperations But in the can't foresee the precise outcome for the patients. To defeat the issue, Proposed strategy utilizing the exponential smoothing (ES) anticipate the quantity of COVID-19 cases in next 30 days ahead and impact of preventive estimates like social seclusion and lockdown on the spread of COVID-19. © 2021 Karadeniz Technical University. All rights reserved.
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