动脉脐带血气预测新生儿状况的临床价值:一项前瞻性队列研究

Xing Xin, Wei-xin Lu, Chun-hua Ye, Hong Du, Shao-shuai Wang, Ling Feng
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Logistic regression and area under the curve (AUC) from Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to identify risk factors, such as, premature rupture of membranes (PROM), high blood pressure, premature delivery (PD), low 1-minute Apgar scores (Apgar 1), low 5-minute Apgar scores (Apgar 5), pH, base excess, bicarbonate, neonatal blood sugar (NBS), and so on, to predict neonatal condition and evaluate the predictive ability of traditional and aUCBG parameters. Results: In all cases, PROM, PD, Apgar 1, Apgar 5, pH, base excess, bicarbonate, total carbon dioxide, and neonatal blood sugar were risk factors and were associated with poor condition of neonate. Apgar 1 were an independent risk factor. Combined traditional and aUCBG parameters had higher AUC of 0.895 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.830–0.960, P < 0.001). In cesarean section subgroup, high blood pressure, PD, and Apgar 1 were risk factors and were associated with poor condition of neonate. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要目的:评价传统参数和脐动脉血气(aUCBG)对新生儿病情的预测能力。方法:2017年10月至2018年8月在中国武汉同济医院妇产科进行前瞻性队列研究,收集360份aUCBG样本。孕妇的平均年龄为(29.50 ± 4.42)岁,年龄19~48岁。入院时胎龄为28+4周至41+3周。使用Logistic回归和受试者操作特征曲线的曲线下面积(AUC)来确定风险因素,如胎膜早破(PROM)、高血压、早产(PD)、1分钟Apgar评分低(Apgar 1)、5分钟Apgar得分低(Apar 5)、pH、碱过量、碳酸氢盐、新生儿血糖(NBS)等,以预测新生儿状况并评估传统和aUCBG参数的预测能力。结果:PROM、PD、Apgar 1、Apgar 5、pH、碱过量、碳酸氢盐、总二氧化碳和新生儿血糖是所有病例的危险因素,并与新生儿的不良状况有关。Apgar 1是一个独立的危险因素。传统和aUCBG参数组合的AUC较高,为0.895(95%置信区间(CI):0.830–0.960,P < 0.001)。在剖宫产亚组中,高血压、PD和Apgar 1是危险因素,并与新生儿的不良状况有关。Apgar 1和低pH是独立的危险因素。传统和aUCBG组合参数的AUC最高,为0.940(95%可信区间:0.886–0.993,P < 0.001)。在阴道分娩亚组中,母亲年龄在35岁以上、胎膜早破、PD、Apgar 1、Apgar 5和男性新生儿是危险因素,并与新生儿的不良状况相关。母亲年龄在35岁以上是一个独立的危险因素。传统和aUCBG组合参数的AUC最高,为0.897(95%置信区间:0.828–0.965,P < 0.001)。对于没有妊娠合并症和并发症的孕妇,可能不需要aUCBG。结论:对于高危妊娠,尤其是阿普加评分、PD较低的妊娠,以及35岁以上的产妇,建议使用aUCBG。传统参数与aUCBG相结合可提高新生儿病情的预测能力。
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The Clinical Value of Artery Umbilical Cord Blood Gas in Predicting Neonate Condition: A Prospective Cohort Study
Abstract Objective: To evaluate the predictive ability of neonate condition through the traditional parameters and artery umbilical cord blood gas (aUCBG). Methods: A prospective cohort study was conducted in obstetrics and gynecology department between October 2017 and August 2018 at Tongji Hospital in Wuhan, China, and 360 aUCBG samples were collected. The average age of pregnant women was (29.50 ± 4.42) years, range from 19 to 48 years old. The gestational age range from 28+4 weeks to 41+3 weeks at admission. Logistic regression and area under the curve (AUC) from Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to identify risk factors, such as, premature rupture of membranes (PROM), high blood pressure, premature delivery (PD), low 1-minute Apgar scores (Apgar 1), low 5-minute Apgar scores (Apgar 5), pH, base excess, bicarbonate, neonatal blood sugar (NBS), and so on, to predict neonatal condition and evaluate the predictive ability of traditional and aUCBG parameters. Results: In all cases, PROM, PD, Apgar 1, Apgar 5, pH, base excess, bicarbonate, total carbon dioxide, and neonatal blood sugar were risk factors and were associated with poor condition of neonate. Apgar 1 were an independent risk factor. Combined traditional and aUCBG parameters had higher AUC of 0.895 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.830–0.960, P < 0.001). In cesarean section subgroup, high blood pressure, PD, and Apgar 1 were risk factors and were associated with poor condition of neonate. Apgar 1 and low pH were the independent risk factors. Combined traditional and aUCBG parameters had highest AUC of 0.940 (95% CI: 0.886–0.993, P < 0.001). In vaginal delivery subgroup, maternal age above 35 years, PROM, PD, Apgar 1, Apgar 5, and male newborn were risk factors and were associated with poor condition of neonate. Maternal age above 35 years was an independent risk factor. Combined traditional and aUCBG parameters had highest AUC of 0.897 (95% CI: 0.828–0.965, P < 0.001). For pregnant women without comorbidities and complications of pregnancy, aUCBG may not be necessary. Conclusion: In high-risk pregnancies, especially lower Apgar scores, PD, and maternal age above 35-year old, aUCBG is recommended. Traditional parameters combined with aUCBG might increase the predicting ability of neonate condition.
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