基于Holt-Winter滤波和残差分析的短期保险赔付预测

IF 1.1 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research Pub Date : 2023-03-06 DOI:10.18187/pjsor.v19i1.4215
Moustafa Salem, Mohamed G. Khalil
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引用次数: 4

摘要

时间序列对于预测各种索赔支付应用程序至关重要。对于保险公司来说,为了防止潜在的未来索赔带来的重大损失,预测索赔的未来价值至关重要。此外,理想参数是人为选择的。通过实际应用,验证了该模型的实用性。此外,理想参数是人为选择的。通过实际应用,验证了该模型的实用性。在Holt-Winters加性算法下,采用单指数平滑模型进行预测。
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Short-Term Insurance Claims Payments Forecasting with Holt-Winter Filtering and Residual Analysis
Time series are essential for anticipating various claims payment applications. For insurance firms to prevent significant losses brought on by potential future claims, the future values of predicted claims are crucial. Additionally, the ideal parameter is chosen artificially. By using a genuine application, the proposed model’s utility is demonstrated. Additionally, the ideal parameter is chosen artificially. By using a genuine application, the proposed model's utility is demonstrated. Also, the single exponential smoothing model is used for prediction under the Holt-Winters’ additive algorithm.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
26.70%
发文量
53
期刊介绍: Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research. PJSOR is a peer-reviewed journal, published four times a year. PJSOR publishes refereed research articles and studies that describe the latest research and developments in the area of statistics, operation research and actuarial statistics.
期刊最新文献
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