营养摄入、健康状况、教育和经济增长:因果关系调查

Rahman Olanrewaju Raji
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文利用尼日利亚1990年至2013年的季度数据,在六变量VEC框架下,利用预测误差方差分解和脉冲响应函数技术,研究了营养摄入、健康状况、教育和经济增长之间的因果关系。与大多数现有研究不同,本文包含控制变量以消除变量遗漏偏差。结果表明,该研究的候选变量之间存在长期的双因果关系。此外,发现主要变量之间存在短期单向因果关系,包括从营养和财政政策到教育的因果关系,以及从教育和经济增长到健康状况的因果关系。这些发现支持了现有的理论。基于模型和实证数据的结果表明,为了提高生产率和促进经济增长,政府应该将更多的资源分配给人类发展。同样,有必要设计适当的机制,以确保有限的资源得到适当分配,并避免腐败的政府官员挪用这些资源。
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Nutrition Intake, Health Status, Education and Economic Growth: A Causality Investigation
Abstract This paper examines the causal relationship between nutrition intake, health status, education and economic growth within a six-variate VEC framework, forecast error variance decomposition and impulse response function techniques, covering the period from 1990 to 2013, using quarterly data in Nigeria. This paper includes control variables in order to eliminate variable omission bias, unlike most existing studies. The results suggest the presence of long-run, bicausal relationships between the candidate variables of the study. In addition, the short-run unidirectional causal relationships are found between main variables, including a causal relationship running from nutrition and fiscal policy to education, as well as a causal link running from education and economic growth to health status. These findings support the existing theories. The results based on the model and empirical data suggest that the government should allocate more resources to human development in order to enhance productivity and boost economic growth. Similarly, there is a need to design adequate mechanisms to ensure proper allocation of the limited resources and avoid their embezzlement by corrupt government officials.
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1.10
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审稿时长
20 weeks
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