2060年实现“净零排放”:解决中国能源安全困境的“灵丹妙药”?

IF 0.3 Q4 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Asia Pacific Journal of Environmental Law Pub Date : 2023-05-12 DOI:10.4337/apjel.2022.02.05
Cynthia Yuan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作为一个快速崛起的经济体,由于能源需求超过其生产能力,越来越依赖化石燃料进口,中华人民共和国(以下简称“中国”)的能源安全挑战一直持续存在。多年来,中国一直寻求通过各种战略来应对这些能源安全风险,从多样化到自给自足,再到节能。这些战略都没有被证明是解决中国能源安全困境的灵丹妙药。本文探讨的关键问题是,中国最近宣布了到2060年实现净零排放的目标,以此为支撑,追求碳中和将如何影响中国能源系统面临的持续能源安全挑战。通过分析“能源安全”和“减排”这两个目标之间的真实关系,本文试图检验能源安全是否实际上是“制约可持续经济和社会发展的瓶颈”。通过深入研究管理中国电网转型的立法和政策工具,本文认为将能源安全和减排定性为二分法是过时的。通过减少中国对化石燃料进口的过度依赖,增加能源结构中能源的多样性,包括更多的非化石燃料来源,到2060年实现净零排放,有可能成为应对中国能源安全挑战的“银弹”。
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The pursuit of ‘net-zero by 2060’: a ‘silver bullet’ for China’s energy security dilemma?
As a rapidly emerging economy that has developed an increasing reliance on fossil fuel imports due to energy demand outstripping its ability to generate supply, the People’s Republic of China’s (hereinafter, ‘China’) energy security challenges have been persistent and ongoing. Over the years, China has sought to address these energy security risks through various strategies, from diversification to self-sufficiency, and energy conservation. None of these strategies have proven to be a panacea to solving China’s energy security dilemma. The key issue examined in this article is how China’s pursuit of carbon neutrality, bolstered through its recent announcement of a target of net-zero emissions by 2060, will have impacts on the ongoing energy security challenges faced by China’s energy systems. By analysing the true relationship between the two objectives of ‘energy security’ and ‘emissions reductions’, this article seeks to test whether energy security is in fact a ‘bottleneck restricting sustainable economic and social development’. Through an in-depth examination of the legislative and policy instruments which govern the transformation of China’s energy grid, this article posits that the characterization of the energy security and emissions reduction as dichotomous is antiquated. The pursuit of net-zero by 2060, through decreasing China’s overreliance on fossil fuel imports and increasing the diversity of energy sources within the energy mix to encompass more non-fossil fuel sources, has the potential to be the ‘silver bullet’ to China’s energy security challenges.
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期刊介绍: The Asia Pacific Journal of Environmental Law (APJEL) is published in two issues each year by the Australian Centre for Climate and Environmental Law (ACCEL). To subscribe please complete the Subscription form and return to ACCEL.
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