不良贷款和金融稳定——以塞尔维亚为例

Velimir Lukić, Svetlana Popović, Irena Janković
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引用次数: 1

摘要

鉴于自上一次世界经济危机以来塞尔维亚银行业信贷组合质量的恶化,本文调查了其弹性和稳定性。不良贷款成为整个东欧地区的一个热点问题。我们使用了一系列指标来评估不良贷款对银行业稳健性的负担。各项指标证实,塞尔维亚银行业在整个危机期间都是稳健和有偿付能力的。不良贷款集中在非金融公司部门,而家庭部门表现要好得多,这影响了采取的补救措施。我们与同行国家进行了比较,并审查了塞尔维亚实施的不良贷款解决策略。我们的发现是,所采取的措施明显有助于减少不良贷款存量,但需要注意的是,减少的速度可能太快、规模太大,因此不能排除反弹效应。总的来说,尽管面临严重威胁,而且没有政府的财政援助,金融稳定还是得到了维护。
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NONPERFORMING LOANS AND FINANCIAL STABILITY – THE CASE OF SERBIA
This paper investigates resilience and stability of the Serbian banking sector in the light of deteriorated quality of its credit portfolio since the last world economic crisis. Nonperforming loans became a burning issue across Eastern European region. We used a set of indicators to appraise the magnitude of nonperforming loans’ burden to the banking sector’s soundness. Indicators verify that the Serbian banking sector was robust and solvent throughout crisis. Nonperforming loans were concentrated in nonfinancial corporations’ sector, while households sector performed much better, which influenced remedy measures undertaken. We carried out a comparison with peer countries and reviewed nonperforming loans resolution strategy implemented in Serbia. Our finding is that measures taken helped noticeably in reducing stock of nonperforming loans, with a caveat that reduction might have been too fast and too large so that bounce back effect cannot be excluded. Overall, financial stability has been preserved despite serious threats and without government financial aid.
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审稿时长
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