缓解气象干旱应对气候变化:以巴基斯坦信德省南部为例

IF 0.6 Q3 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Mehran University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI:10.22581/muet1982.2303.14
Prem Kumar, Syed Feroz Shah, R. B. Khokhar, M. A. Uqaili, Laveet Kumar, Raja Fawad Zafar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用巴基斯坦信德省南部三个不同地点的月度时间尺度数据进行了一项气象干旱研究。降雨量和温度被用来确定干旱。将这些数据转化为干旱指数,即标准化降水蒸散指数(SPEI)和标准化降水指数(SPI),并利用哈格里夫斯方程推导出这两个指数。在本研究中,比较了Chhor、Mithi和Badin三个独立的气象站的两个指数,这些气象站的大部分社会经济生计严重依赖水。SPI是通过简单的水平衡结合降水和温度产生的,与SPI不同,它只考虑降水。综上所述,我们的研究表明,这两个指数都能够检测2004-2021年参考期内随时间波动的干旱。SPI和SPEI的变化方向相似,但对干旱状况的影响有所不同。SPEI在Chhor和Badin站发现了更多持续时间更长的干旱,SPEI-3在Chhor和Badin站发现了13次中度干旱,而Mithi站在2004-2021年期间发现了8次中度干旱,SPI-3在Chhor, Mithi和Badin站发现了6次中度干旱。相反,与SPI相比,SPEI发现的中度干旱更多,但它们的持续时间较短,发生频率低于重度至中度干旱。研究结果表明,干旱特征受到温度变化的显著影响。
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Meteorological drought mitigation for combating climate change: a case study of southern Sindh, Pakistan
A meteorological drought study is performed using monthly time scale data from three separate locations in southern Sindh, Pakistan. Rainfall and temperature have been used to identify the drought. These data were transformed into drought indices known as the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI), which were derived using (the Hargreaves equation). In this study, two indices are compared for three separate meteorological stations Chhor, Mithi, and Badin where most socioeconomic livelihoods depend heavily on water. The SPEI is produced through a simple water balance combining precipitation and temperature, in distinction to the SPI, it just considers precipitation. In conclusion, our study showed that both indices were capable of detecting droughts that fluctuated in time across the reference period of 2004–2021. SPI and SPEI's direction of change was similar, however the impact on the drought condition varied. SPEI discovered more droughts with longer durations and greater with 13 moderate droughts at SPEI-3 for Chhor and Badin Station while Mithi indicated 8 moderate droughts during 2004-2021 and SPI-3 indicated 4 moderates for Chhor, Mithi and Badin indicated 6 moderate drought. Conversely, SPEI discovered more moderate-level droughts than SPI, however they were of shorter length and less frequent occurrence than the severe to moderate droughts. The findings imply that drought characteristics are significantly influenced by temperature variability.
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