俄罗斯可再生能源:壁垒的系统分析

A. Ljovkina, M. Brody, E. Karagulyan, A. Zakharova, V. Ljovkin
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引用次数: 2

摘要

考虑到现代世界当前的生态状况,生活质量与其说取决于稳定的能源供应,不如说取决于一种环保的能源生产和消费方式,这使得社会和研究人员将注意力转向了可再生能源系统(RES)的机会。尽管极有必要向无害环境的能源生产过渡,但可再生能源技术的实施和发展面临一系列障碍:社会文化、技术、经济、体制和环境。为了克服这些障碍,本文的作者使用系统方法来更深入地理解RES的相互联系和相互依存。他们应用STEEP分析对俄罗斯可再生能源发展障碍进行分类和定性分析。本文提出了分析方法,揭示了国家可再生能源发展障碍的系统规范,并预测了克服特定障碍的连锁反应。使用这种方法,作者确定了俄罗斯可再生能源发展障碍的主要社会文化根源:国家对能源部门发展的控制,碳氢化合物的政治利益以及缺乏一致的可再生能源发展政策。作者建议的分析方法适用于查明能源社会经济系统的根本问题和能源部门的有效决策过程。
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Renewable Energy in Russia: System Analysis of Barriers
Considering the current ecological situation in the modern world, the quality of life depends not so much on a stable energy supply as on an environmentally friendly way of producing and consuming energy, which has turned social and research attention to the opportunities of renewable energy systems (RES). In spite of the vital necessity of transitioning to environmentally friendly energy production, the implementation and development of renewable energy technologies face a range of barriers: socio-cultural, technological, economic, institutional and environmental. To overcome these barriers, the authors of this article use the systems approach to gain deeper understanding of RES interconnection and interdependence. They apply STEEP analysis for classification and qualitative analysis of RES development barriers in Russia. The article proposes the analytical methodology, which reveals system specifications of the national RES development barriers and predicts the chain reaction of overcoming particular barriers. Using this methodology, the authors identify the main socio-cultural roots of RES development barriers in Russia: state control of the development of the energy sector, the political stake in hydrocarbons and the lack of consistent policies on RES development. The authors’ suggested analysis methodology is appropriate for identifying the root problems in energy socio-economic systems and for effective decision-making process in the energy sector.
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