观察到的科特迪瓦气候趋势、感知到的影响和社区适应做法

Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI:10.2478/environ-2022-0016
Jean-Luc Kouassi, Narcisse Wandan, C. Mbow
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化是西非当地社区面临的严重威胁。本研究评估了Côte科特迪瓦中部地区的气候趋势和农民对气候变化的看法。我们调查了三个农业生态区的259户家庭。将农民对气候变化的了解与观测到的气象记录(1973-2016)中各种气候参数的趋势进行了比较。趋势分析和描述分析结果表明,各生态区的最低、最高、平均气温和降雨量均呈显著上升趋势。44年平均气温和降雨量分别增加3.2%(0.89°C)和166.58% (645.5 mm)。当地农民认为气温有上升趋势(所有受访者),降雨量有下降趋势(91.51%)。大多数受访者认为森林砍伐(76.83%)、自然气候变化(50.97%)和野火(31.27%)是这些气候干扰的主要原因,导致植物枯死(92.66%)、作物生长不良(59.46%)和作物损失(20.46%)。对人民及其资产的影响包括家庭收入减少(63.71%)、房屋屋顶(44.4%)和墙壁拆除(43.91%)、取水点短缺(39.38%)和新疾病的出现(30.89%)。这些气候扰动导致了特定的内源性农场和农场外战略,以适应观测到的变化对其生计的影响。
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Observed climate trends, perceived impacts and community adaptation practices in Côte d’Ivoire
Abstract Climate change is a serious threat to local communities in West Africa. This study evaluated climatic trends and the perceptions of farmers to climate change in central Côte d’Ivoire. We surveyed 259 households across three agro-ecological zones. The knowledge of farmers about climate change was compared to observed trends of various climatic parameters from meteorological records (1973-2016). Results from trend analysis and descriptive analysis showed that the minimum, maximum and mean temperatures and rainfall showed a significant upward trend in all ecoregions. The average temperature and amount of rainfall increased by 3.2% (0.89°C) and 166.58% (645.5 mm) respectively over the 44 years. Local farmers perceived an increasing trend in temperature (all respondents) and a decreasing trend in rainfall (91.51%). Most of the respondents identified deforestation (76.83%), natural climate variation (50.97%) and wildfires (31.27%) as the main causes of these climatic disturbances, which induced plant dieback (92.66%), poor crop growth (59.46%) and crop loss (20.46%). The impacts on people and their assets encompassed a decrease in household income (63.71%), demolition of roofs (44..4%) and walls (43.91%) of houses, the scarcity of water points (39.38%) and the emergence of new diseases (30.89%). These climatic disturbances resulted in specific endogenous on-farm and off-farm strategies to adapt to the impacts of observed changes on their livelihoods.
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