从收益和实物期权分析看企业价值变动

Chris Penniken, Thankgo Manchidi
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摘要

本文提出了可用于推导各种不动产价值的估价模型。房地产的估值在房地产资产管理中起着重要作用,例如当房地产被出售时(Reinert, 2019)。对传统模型进行了研究,发现收益资本化法是商业空间评估中最常用的公式,因为它产生了收益——房地产未来将产生的潜在收益是估计收益。结果表明,收益资本化法存在不足之处。该方法中使用的资本化率充满了假设,这些假设对于使该方法有偏见的评估师来说是主观的。这些方法也没有考虑到管理者所做的不动产的灵活性。房地产的灵活性来自于管理层随着未来的发展而改变房地产项目性质的能力。实物期权法作为一种新的方法被引入,因为它更准确,因为它包含了财产使用的灵活性。实物期权在房地产,特别是空地上的使用可以追溯到1965年(Sebehela, 2012)。似乎大多数估价师并不或不熟练使用实物期权。本文提出,商业价值评估应采用实物期权法
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Firm Value Variation Illustrated by Income and Real Option Analysis
The article presents valuation models that can be used to derive the value of vary real properties. The valuation of real properties plays a major role in the real estate asset management for example when the real property is being sold (Reinert, 2019). The traditional models were studied, and it was found that the income capitalization method is the most popularly used formula when appraising the commercial spaces as they generate income—the potential income that the real property will generate in the future is estimated income. It was found that the income capitalization approach has its shortcomings. The capitalization rates that are used in the approach are full of assumptions that are subjective to the appraiser that is making the method biased. The methods also do not also incorporate the flexibility of the real property that the managers make. Flexibility in the real estate comes from the ability of the management to alter the nature of the real property project as the future unfolds. Real option approach has been introduced as a new method as it is more accurate because it incorporates the flexibility of the use of the property. The usage of real options in real estate, especially on vacant land can be traced back to 1965 (Sebehela, 2012). It seems that most appraisers are not and/or not skilled in using real options. The article proposes that the real options approach should be the one used when valuing commercial
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