递延所得税资产的异常变化是否会干扰分析师的盈利预测?

IF 1.9 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE China Journal of Accounting Research Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.cjar.2022.100255
Yujia Xue
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引用次数: 3

摘要

2007年,中国采用单一资产负债表负债法进行税务核算,但其缺点已经显现。本文以2007 - 2018年的a股上市公司为样本,研究递延税项资产的异常变化是否会干扰分析师的盈利预测,发现递延税项资产的异常变化会增加预测的误差和偏差。与递延税项资产的负异常变化相比,正异常变化对盈利预测的影响更大。此外,公司治理水平、审计质量和分析师的专业能力对递延税项资产异常变化与盈余预测之间的相关性具有调节作用。然而,递延所得税负债的异常变化对这种相关性没有显著影响。
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Does an abnormal change in deferred tax assets interfere with analysts’ earnings forecasts?

In 2007, China adopted the single balance sheet liability method for tax accounting, but its shortcomings have emerged. I sample A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2018 to study whether an abnormal change in deferred tax assets interferes with analysts’ earnings forecasts and find that an abnormal change in deferred tax assets increases the error and divergence of these forecasts. Compared with a negative abnormal change in deferred tax assets, a positive abnormal change has a greater impact on earnings forecasts. Additionally, the level of corporate governance, audit quality and analysts’ professional ability have moderating effects on the correlation between an abnormal change in deferred tax assets and earnings forecasts. However, an abnormal change in deferred tax liabilities does not have a significant impact on that correlation.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
295
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: The focus of the China Journal of Accounting Research is to publish theoretical and empirical research papers that use contemporary research methodologies to investigate issues about accounting, corporate finance, auditing and corporate governance in the Greater China region, countries related to the Belt and Road Initiative, and other emerging and developed markets. The Journal encourages the applications of economic and sociological theories to analyze and explain accounting issues within the legal and institutional framework, and to explore accounting issues under different capital markets accurately and succinctly. The published research articles of the Journal will enable scholars to extract relevant issues about accounting, corporate finance, auditing and corporate governance related to the capital markets and institutional environment.
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