伯南布哥州气候序列的补缺过程

Q4 Environmental Science IRRIGA Pub Date : 2021-12-23 DOI:10.15809/irriga.2021v1n4p754-764
Lívia Maria Cavalcante Silva, Fabiano Simplicio Bezerra, Maria Catiana DE Vasconcelos, Madson Rafael Barbalho DA Silva, Ana Cláudia Davino Dos Santos, C. D. G. D. Almeida
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在比较三种方法填补2019年1月至12月伯南布哥州13个自动气象站(AWS)降雨和温度数据空白的适用性。采用算术平均法、区域加权法和简单线性回归法。用填充技术估计的数据用R²和描述性统计分析进行了比较。三种方法估算的气温数据R2均等于或非常接近1。另一方面,只有采用区域加权(R²= 1)和线性回归(R²= 0.99)方法,估算的降雨量值才与实际数据接近或接近。通过线性回归得到温度的最小标准差(1.70)。区域加权法和未填充数据均表现出较好的均匀性。以月为尺度估算气候变量、气温和降水的分析方法可以有效地填补评估AWS中缺失的数据。简单的线性回归方法更有效,其次是区域加权,以填补气候数据库的缺失数据。
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GAP FILLING PROCEDURES OF CLIMATOLOGICAL SERIES IN THE STATE OF PERNAMBUCO
This study aimed to compare the applicability of three methods of filling gaps in rainfall and temperature data from thirteen automatic weather stations (AWS) in the state of Pernambuco, from January to December 2019. The methods used were arithmetic mean, regional weighting, and simple linear regression. The data estimated by filling techniques have been subjected to comparison using R² and descriptive statistical analysis. The estimated data of air temperature presented R2 equal or very close to 1 for the three methods. On the other hand, the estimated data of rainfall showed values similar or closer to the real data only to regional weighting (R² = 1) and linear regression (R² = 0.99) methods. The smallest values ​​of standard deviation (1.70) for temperature were obtained with linear regression. The regional weighting method and unfilled data showed greater uniformity for precipitation. The analyzed methods to estimate the climatic variables, air temperature, and precipitation, on a monthly scale, were efficient to fill in missing data in the evaluated AWS. The simple linear regression method is more efficient and adequate, followed by regional weighting, to fill in missing data in climate databases.
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来源期刊
IRRIGA
IRRIGA Environmental Science-Water Science and Technology
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
6
期刊介绍: A Revista IRRIGA é destinada a publicar trabalhos originais e que contribuam para o desenvolvimento cientifico da agricultura em português, espanhol, preferivelmente em inglês, nas áreas de Irrigação, Drenagem, Hidrologia, Agrometeorologia, Relações Solo-Água-Planta-Atmosfera e Reuso de Água. IRRIGA is a Scientific Journal edited by Agricultural Science College-UNESP, devoted to the publication of original scientific papers in English or Portuguese or Spanish, within the topics: Irrigation, Drainage, Agrometeorology, Hydrology, Waste Water and Soil-Water-Plant-Atmosphere Relationships.
期刊最新文献
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