气候变化政策评估及其对岛国的影响:以新加坡和斯里兰卡为例

Pub Date : 2019-04-30 DOI:10.11113/IJBES.V6.N2.345
Osada Vishvajith Peiris
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化(CC)由于其影响的性质而被普遍认为是一个主要的全球威胁。众所周知,岛屿国家最容易受到气候变化影响,许多岛屿国家已通过基于部门的政策措施启动了缓解和适应行动。新加坡和斯里兰卡是两个受到CC威胁的亚洲岛国。这两个国家在经济发展方面不同,但在CC议程上是相似的发展中国家。在这方面,两国都通过政策措施发起了缓解和适应行动。本研究将气候驱动的关键绩效指标与历史数据进行比较,以评估各国气候变化政策的绩效。一般来说,政策评估采用了科学和非科学的工具,但很少看到气候驱动指标与气候变化政策的关系。此外,政策研究大多基于欧洲的案例研究,在这方面不容易找到亚洲岛屿国家。比较两国的CC政策是为了确定岛国需要干预的关键脆弱部门。在新加坡和斯里兰卡,采用十二(12)项指标下的温室气体排放路径来评估缓解政策,采用七(07)项指标下的关键经济部门的国家支出来衡量适应政策。通过比较两国对CC影响有积极和消极影响的主要经济部门,进一步阐述了分析。最后,将分析结果用于新加坡和斯里兰卡CC政策完善的经验借鉴。由于每个国家都有一套独特的战略来最大限度地减少对气候变化影响的贡献,因此选择两国共同的独特特征作为比较的变量。为实施2020年后切实可行的行动计划,提出了政策建议。这项研究预计将协助岛屿国家加强共同承担责任的政策,作为一项国家优先事项,以管理共同承担责任现象所造成的不可预见的影响
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Climate Change Policy Evaluation and Its Impact on Island Nations: Case Of Singapore And Sri Lanka
Climate Change (CC) is universally recognized as a major global threat due to its nature of impacts. Island nations are known to be the most vulnerable to CC impacts where many countries have initiated mitigation and adaptation actions through sector-based policy measures. Singapore and Sri Lanka are two Asian island nations with CC induced threats. Two countries are different in terms of economic development, but similar developing countries in the CC agenda. In this context, both the countries have initiated mitigation and adaptation actions through policy measures. This study compares the key climate driven performance indicators with historical data to evaluate the performance of climate change policy of each country. Generally, policy evaluation has been conducted by adopting scientific and non-scientific tools, but it is seldom see that the relation of climate driven indicators along with CC policy. Also the policy research was mostly based on European case studies and Asian island nations were not easy to find in this context. The comparison of two countries in terms of CC policy is to determine the key vulnerable sectors where intervention is necessary for island nations. Mitigation policies are evaluated in Singapore and Sri Lanka using GHG emission pathways under twelve (12) indicators and adaptation policies are measured under the national expenditure of key sectors of the economy under seven (07) indicators. The analysis further elaborated by comparing both countries with key economic sectors that has positive and negative influence on CC impacts. Finally, the analysis outcome is used for lessons to learn from each other in improving the CC policy of Singapore and Sri Lanka. As every country has a unique set of strategies to minimize contributions to CC impacts, unique features that are common to both countries are chosen as variables for the comparison. Policy recommendations are provided to implement solid action plan for post 2020. The study expects to assist island countries to strengthen the CC policy as a national priority to manage unforeseen impacts posed by CC phenomena
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