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Out of a sample of 54 published papers in the Journal ofMoney, Credit and Banking in 1980, they found only eight (15%) were replicable without problems and 14 (26%) were incomplete. More recently, Vilhuber (2020) found that about 30% of replication attempts fail. Still, replication studies are not common. Empirical work from well-published and highly cited articles or top five journals is more likely to be reproduced (Berry et al., 2017; Hamermesh, 2007), but the number of replication studies for even well-published works is small. Berry et al. (2017) find that only 3.5% of the papers that cited empirical works published in the American Economic Review in 2010 are replications. Replications in regional science, spatial economics and economic geography are also scarce and unsatisfactory to our knowledge. 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引用次数: 3
摘要
空间经济分析很高兴宣布开设一个新的部分,即复制研究,专门介绍复制或扩展已发表的实证结果的简短论文,并讨论它们对模型、估计方法和/或解释的相关变化的敏感性。实证研究是社会科学支柱的一部分,因为它们有助于支持理论和形成政策建议。近几十年来,与专注于经济理论和计量经济学理论的文章相比,已发表的实证研究的份额增加了50%。此外,实证论文比理论论文被引用更多(Angrist et al.,2017)。Dewald等人(1986)在实证研究中强调复制的重要性已经35年了。在1980年发表在《货币、信贷和银行学杂志》上的54篇论文样本中,他们发现只有8篇(15%)是可以复制的,没有问题,14篇(26%)是不完整的。最近,Vilhuber(2020)发现,大约30%的复制尝试失败。不过,复制研究并不常见。来自发表良好、引用率高的文章或排名前五的期刊的实证研究更有可能被复制(Berry et al.,2017;Hamermesh,2007),但即使是发表良好的作品,复制研究的数量也很少。Berry等人(2017)发现,在2010年发表在《美国经济评论》上的引用实证著作的论文中,只有3.5%是复制品。区域科学、空间经济学和经济地理学的复制品也很少,而且据我们所知并不令人满意。相比之下,在实验经济学和金融经济学这两个经济学文献中的子领域中,复制更为常见(Ingerslev et al.,2021 Maniadis et al.,2017)。文献提出了缺乏复制研究的两个原因(Dewald等人,1986;Galiani等人,2017;Vilhuber,2020):
Spatial Economic Analysis is pleased to announce a new section, Replication Studies, devoted to short papers that replicate or extend published empirical results and discuss their sensitivity to relevant changes in the model, estimation method and/or interpretation. Empirical studies are part of the backbone of the social sciences because they help to support theories and form policy recommendations. In recent decades there has been a 50% increase in the share of published empirical studies in comparison with articles focused on economic theory and econometric theory. In addition, empirical papers receive more citations than theoretical papers (Angrist et al., 2017). It is 35 years since Dewald et al. (1986) emphasized the importance of replications in empirical research. Out of a sample of 54 published papers in the Journal ofMoney, Credit and Banking in 1980, they found only eight (15%) were replicable without problems and 14 (26%) were incomplete. More recently, Vilhuber (2020) found that about 30% of replication attempts fail. Still, replication studies are not common. Empirical work from well-published and highly cited articles or top five journals is more likely to be reproduced (Berry et al., 2017; Hamermesh, 2007), but the number of replication studies for even well-published works is small. Berry et al. (2017) find that only 3.5% of the papers that cited empirical works published in the American Economic Review in 2010 are replications. Replications in regional science, spatial economics and economic geography are also scarce and unsatisfactory to our knowledge. By contrast, in experimental economics and financial economics, two subfields within the economics literature, replications are more common (Ingerslev et al., 2021 Maniadis et al., 2017). The literature suggests two reasons for the lack of replication studies (Dewald et al., 1986; Galiani et al., 2017; Vilhuber, 2020):
期刊介绍:
Spatial Economic Analysis is a pioneering economics journal dedicated to the development of theory and methods in spatial economics, published by two of the world"s leading learned societies in the analysis of spatial economics, the Regional Studies Association and the British and Irish Section of the Regional Science Association International. A spatial perspective has become increasingly relevant to our understanding of economic phenomena, both on the global scale and at the scale of cities and regions. The growth in international trade, the opening up of emerging markets, the restructuring of the world economy along regional lines, and overall strategic and political significance of globalization, have re-emphasised the importance of geographical analysis.