将风险作为系统安全的度量

Janusz Rak, Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak
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引用次数: 1

摘要

供水系统(WSS)的特点是其连续工作,对其运行和安全要求高可靠性。系统运行与发生不同故障(不良事件)的可能性密不可分。它们通常具有随机性,然后可以用可靠性工程中使用的经典方法来描述,包括概率方法,但有时它们是可能导致灾难性情况的事件的后果。这种类型的事件会导致所谓的多米诺骨牌效应,这是一系列不受欢迎的事件,通常会根据某些特定的场景发展。在许多情况下,此类事件的后果对用水户和水管公司来说都非常严重。描述WSS安全性的基本措施是风险,分析与WSS相关的风险的模型的详细说明将允许正确使用安全屏障。本文从提高用水者安全的角度提出了WSS中的风险分析范式。
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THE RISK AS A MEASURE OF SYSTEM SAFETY
Water supply system (WSS) is characterized by its continuous work and requires high reliability level for its operating as well as for its safety System operating is inseparably connected with the possibility that different failures (undesirable events) occur. The most often they have random character and then they can be described by the classical methods used in the reliability engineering including the probabilistic methods but sometimes they are the consequences of the events which can cause the catastrophic situation. Events of this type cause the so called domino effect that is a chain of the undesirable events which very often develops according to some definite scenarios. In many cases the consequences of such events can be very serious for water consumers as well as for water pipe companies. The basic measure describing WSS safety is risk and the elaboration of the model to analyze risk connected with WSS will allow to use the safety barriers properly. The paper presents paradigms of risk analysis in WSS in the aspect of improving safety for water consumers.
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