确定SNAPPE II评分(围生期新生儿急性生理评分-II)预测三级医院新生儿重症监护病房新生儿死亡率的强度:一项前瞻性观察研究

IF 0.2 Q4 PEDIATRICS Journal of Clinical Neonatology Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI:10.4103/jcn.jcn_36_23
Swapnali Bansode, H. Bhandekar, M. Tiwari, Pradeep Pazare
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摘要

目的:新生儿急性生理评分围产期扩展II(SNAPPE-II)是一种新的新生儿死亡率风险预测系统。这项观察性研究旨在确定其预测新生儿重症监护室(NICU)新生儿死亡风险的能力。方法:这项前瞻性观察性研究为期12个月,从2021年10月到2022年9月。78名符合纳入标准的新生儿被纳入我们的研究。新生儿的预后与入院后为各自新生儿计算的SNAPPE II评分进行比较。生成受试者工作特性(ROC)曲线,以确定SNAPPE-II死亡率的最佳截止分数。结果:在研究期间,有292名新生儿入住新生儿重症监护室。其中78名新生儿符合入选要求。78名新生儿中有32名婴儿(39.71%)死亡,47名出院。死亡新生儿的SNAPPE-II评分明显高于存活新生儿(中位数[四分位间距]37[5-67]对13[0-48],P=0.001)。ROC曲线下面积(曲线下面积):0.837(95%置信区间,0.73-0.91);SNAPPE II评分显示了预测死亡率的能力。预测死亡的敏感性和特异性最高的截止分数为29。与SNAPPE II评分为29分或更低的新生儿相比,29岁以上的新生儿死亡率显著增加。比值比估计值为15.27,这表明得分高的新生儿的死亡风险是得分低的新生儿的15倍左右。结论:本研究表明,SNAPPE II评分是预测新生儿重症监护室新生儿死亡率的一个有价值的工具。
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Determination of the strength of SNAPPE II score (Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology with Perinatal Extension-II) to predict neonatal mortality in a neonatal intensive care unit of tertiary care hospital: A prospective observational study
Aim: The Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology with Perinatal Extension-II (SNAPPE-II) is a novel risk prediction system for neonatal mortality. This observational study aims to determine its ability to predict mortality risk in neonates admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU). Methodology: This prospective observational research was conducted for 12 months, from October 2021 to September 2022. Seventy-eight newborns, who fulfilled the inclusion criteria, were enrolled in our study. The outcomes of neonates were compared with the degree of SNAPPE II score calculated for respective neonates after admission. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to determine the optimum SNAPPE-II cutoff score for mortality. Results: During the period of research, 292 newborns got admitted to our NICU. Among these, 78 neonates met the requirements for inclusion. Thirty-two infants (39.71%) of the 78 neonates died, while 47 were discharged. Newborns who died had substantially higher SNAPPE-II scores than those who lived (median [interquartile range] 37 [5–67] vs. 13 [0–48], P = 0.001). The area under the ROC curve (area under the curve): 0.837 (95% confidence interval, 0.73–0.91); SNAPPE II score demonstrated the ability to predict mortality. The cutoff score with the highest sensitivity and specificity for predicting death was 29. Compared to newborns with a SNAPPE II score of 29 or less, those over 29 had a considerably increased chance of mortality. The odds ratio estimate was 15.27, which indicates that neonates with high scores have around 15 times the risk of dying, as do those with low scores. Conclusion: This study suggests that the SNAPPE II score is a valuable tool for predicting mortality in neonates admitted to the NICU.
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期刊介绍: The JCN publishes original articles, clinical reviews and research reports which encompass both basic science and clinical research including randomized trials, observational studies and epidemiology.
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