加纳的融资成本和私人投资

J. Ababio, Emmanuel Sarpong Kumankoma, K. A. Osei
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本研究实证研究了1970年至2010年期间加纳融资成本对私人投资的影响。为此,所采用的变量被归类为私人投资的成本因素(利率、汇率、通货膨胀率)和非成本因素(公共投资、产出、信贷可用性、外债)。Johansen协整技术用于估计加纳的长期私人投资函数。此外,误差校正模型被用于确定短期动力学。研究发现,从长远来看,所有成本因素都对加纳的私人投资产生了负面的、统计上显著的影响。另一方面,从长期来看,非成本因素对加纳的私人投资产生了积极影响,但外债产生了不利影响。它还发现,从长远来看,所有使用的变量都与私人投资相结合。这项研究提供了原始证据,证明融资成本高与私营部门参与加纳投资活动的程度低有关。因此,该研究建议,除其他外,长期政策应指向成本控制和宏观经济稳定,以促进发展中国家,特别是加纳的私人投资活动或计划。
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Financing Cost and Private Investment in Ghana
This study has investigated empirically the effect of financing cost on private investment in Ghana, over the period 1970 to 2010. To this end, the variables employed were classified as cost factors (interest rate, exchange rate, inflation rate) and non-cost factors (public investment, output, credit availability, external debt) of private investment. The Johansen co-integration technique was used to estimate the long-run private investment function for Ghana. Also, the Error Correction Model was used to determine the short-run dynamics. The study finds that all the cost factors had negative and statistically significant impact on private investment in Ghana, in the long-run. On the other hand, in the long-run, the non-cost factors impacted positively on private investment in Ghana, but external debt had an adverse effect. It also, finds that all the variables used, co-integrated with private investment in the long-run. This study provides original evidence that high cost of financing is associated with low private sector participation in investment activities in Ghana. Accordingly, the study recommends among others that long term policies should be directed towards cost control and macroeconomic stabilization in order to boost private investment activities or programs in developing nations particularly, Ghana.
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