从客户和承包商的角度对地下和高架地铁项目进行风险评估

IF 1.9 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Built Environment Project and Asset Management Pub Date : 2022-05-17 DOI:10.1108/bepam-07-2021-0098
O. Karmarkar, Shivram G. Krishnan, V. K. Delhi, N. Velaga
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的印度是一个拥有14亿人口的快速城市化发展中国家。印度政府在18个城市的地铁项目上投资了500亿美元。地铁建设是多利益相关者的大型项目,容易产生各种风险。本文的目的是从两个角度,从两种类型的系统分析人口稠密的发展中国家地铁建设项目的风险。目前的文献缺乏从客户和承包商的角度对地下和高架地铁项目所涉及的风险的异同的理解,本文强调了这一点。设计/方法/方法通过基于问卷的调查,通过专家对风险的影响和发生概率的意见,共识别、分类和评估了25种风险。调查对象包括来自客户和承包商方面的地铁轨道建设专家。本文采用模糊推理系统从风险发生概率和影响两个方面对风险大小进行了标定。发现除了某些常见风险外,客户和承包商的观点存在显著差异。两个利益相关者对地下和高架地铁系统的风险认知不同。实际意义本研究有助于不同类型地铁系统的风险评估。这项研究可以帮助决策者和顾问优先考虑印度等发展中国家的风险管理战略。Originality/value本文强调了发展中国家地铁项目风险的关键方面,还提供了基于系统和利益相关者的风险分析比较方面。
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Risk assessment of underground and elevated metro projects from clients' and contractors' perspective
PurposeIndia is a rapidly urbanizing developing country with a population of 1.4 Billion. Indian governments have invested USD 50 Billion) in metro rail projects in 18 cities. Metro constructions are multi-stakeholder mega-projects and are prone to a variety of risks. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the risks involved in metro rail construction projects in a densely populated developing country for two types of systems and from two perspectives. Current literature lacks an understanding of similarities and differences in the risks involved in underground and elevated metro projects from clients' and contractors' perspectives, which the paper highlights.Design/methodology/approachA total of twenty-five risks were identified, categorized and assessed through experts' opinions about the impact and probability of occurrence of the risks through a questionnaire-based survey. The survey respondents included experts in metro rail construction from client and contractor sides. Paper uses a Fuzzy Inference System to calibrate risk magnitude from occurrence probability and impact.FindingsA notable difference was observed in the views of clients and contractors, except for certain common risks. Both stakeholders had different risk perceptions for the underground and elevated metro rail systems.Practical implicationsThis study contributes to the risk assessment for different types of metro systems. This research can help policymakers as well as consultants in prioritizing their risk management strategies in developing countries like India.Originality/valueHighlighting the critical aspects of risks in metro projects in a developing country, this paper also provides system-based and stakeholder-based comparative aspects of risk analysis.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
9.10%
发文量
41
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