伊朗进口商品需求函数的价格和收入弹性测度

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Iranian Economic Review Pub Date : 2021-06-19 DOI:10.22059/IER.2021.81923
H. Ranjbar, H. Shamsi, Vahid Mohammadi, F. Mirzaii
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引用次数: 0

摘要

调查进口需求函数对于确定伊朗经济的宏观经济模型、有效性和商业效率具有特别重要的意义。因此,在进口商品领域可以解决的主要问题之一是估计进口需求函数和调查影响进口的因素。因此,在本文中,我们使用1992-2017年的季节性数据,应用几乎理想的需求系统(AIDS),并使用看似无关的回归(SUR)计量经济技术,根据伊朗经济的一位数关税代码,估计了五种商品组的进口价格和收入弹性。实证结果表明,进口配置模式是单阶段的,依赖于国内销售。此外,自身的价格弹性具有支持进口行为的负面迹象。交叉价格弹性也表明,其他便携式和金属商品、社会和个人服务、金融和商业服务、农产品、林业和渔业产品的国内销售、其他便携式和金属商品以及金融和商务服务集团之间的互补性较差。除第一组商品外,五个商品组的支出弹性显著,这意味着每个商品组的需求相对于收入的有效性。
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Measuring Price and Income Elasticity of Demand Function of the Iranian Imports
Investigating the import demand function has particular importance in identifying the macroeconomic models and effectiveness and commercial efficiencies of the Iranian economy. For this reason, one of the major issues that can be addressed in the field of importing goods is the estimation of import demand function and investigating impacting factors on imports. Therefore, in this paper, throughout using seasonal data for the period 1992-2017 and applying the almost ideal demand system (AIDS) and using seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) econometric technique, we have estimated import price and income elasticities for five commodity groups based on one-digit tariffs code for the Iranian economy. The empirical results indicated that the import allocation pattern is single-stage and depends on the domestic sales. Also, the own-price elasticities had a negative sign which supports import behavior. Cross-price elasticities also showed a poor complementarity between the Other portable and metal commodities and, Social & personal services and Financial & business Services, domestic sales with Agricultural, forestry & fishing products, Other portable & metal commodities and Financial & business Services groups. The expenditure elasticities in five commodity groups were significant, except the first group, which implying effectiveness of demand for each commodity groups relative to income.
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来源期刊
Iranian Economic Review
Iranian Economic Review Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
0.70
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0.00%
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