随机二进制数据概率分布参数的统计序列假设检验

A. Kharin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文讨论了计算机数据分析的一个重要数学问题——观测到的二进制数据概率分布参数的简单假设的统计序列检验问题。这个问题正在为两个观测模型解决:独立观测和齐次马尔可夫链。导出了序列测试统计的显式表达式,便于解释,便于计算机实现。开发了一种方法来计算性能特征——误差概率和随机观测数的数学期望,以保证决策规则的要求准确性。上述性能特征的渐近展开式是在观测数据概率分布的“污染”下构造的。
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Statistical sequential hypotheses testing on para meters of probability distributions of random binary data
An important mathematical problem of computer data analysis – the problem of statistical sequential testing of simple hypotheses on parameters of probability distributions of observed binary data – is considered in the paper. This problem is being solved for two models of observation: for independent observations and for homogeneous Markov chains. Explicit expressions of the sequential tests statistics are derived, transparent for interpretation and convenient for computer realisation. An approach is developed to calculate the performance characteristics – error probabilities and mathematical expectations of the random number of observations required to guarantee the requested accuracy for decision rules. Asymptotic expansions for the mentioned performance characteristics are constructed under «contamination» of the probability distributions of observed data.
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CiteScore
0.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
21
审稿时长
16 weeks
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