高阶证据和定罪失败

IF 1.8 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY NOUS Pub Date : 2021-05-03 DOI:10.1111/NOUS.12367
L. Henderson
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引用次数: 8

摘要

对于如何对更高层次的证据作出回应,一直存在着相当大的困惑。现有的dilem-mas可以通过采用多嘴多舌态度的“二维”表示来消除,这种态度不仅包含了对事态的一阶状态的实质性不确定性,还包含了我们持有态度的信念程度。这使得在高阶证据的情况下,证据有时主要影响我们的定罪,而不是我们的实质性不确定性。我认为,这样的二维表示是通过利用不精确的概率自然发展起来的。
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Higher‐order evidence and losing one's conviction
There has been considerable puzzlement over how to respond to higher-order evidence. The existing dilem-mas can be defused by adopting a ‘two-dimensional’ representation of doxastic attitudes which incorporates not only substantive uncertainty about which first-order state of affairs obtains but also the degree of conviction with which we hold the attitude. This makes it possible that in cases of higher-order evidence the evidence sometimes impacts primarily on our conviction, rather than our substantive uncertainty. I argue that such a two-dimensional representation is naturally developed by making use of imprecise probabilities.
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来源期刊
NOUS
NOUS PHILOSOPHY-
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
4.80%
发文量
34
期刊介绍: Noûs, a premier philosophy journal, publishes articles that address the whole range of topics at the center of philosophical debate, as well as long critical studies of important books. Subscribers to Noûs also receive two prestigious annual publications at no additional cost: Philosophical Issues and Philosophical Perspectives.
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