论印度核野心中潜在的理论变化

IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS IPRI Journal Pub Date : 2018-08-01 DOI:10.31945/iprij.180203
Sameer Ali, T. Khalil
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引用次数: 3

摘要

印度教右翼政党印度人民党在2014年印度大选中赢得明显多数席位,创造了历史。该党支持更新和修订印度的核理论,使其与当今时代的挑战相适应。核理论的三个核心原则——不首先使用核武器(NFU)、大规模报复威胁和可信的最低威慑政策——的潜在变化也将影响其他领域。印度修改其对无核武器世界的支持、暂停核试验以及谈判《裂变材料禁产条约》的意愿将是有问题的。这篇文章探讨了可能修订印度学说对威慑稳定性和全球核政治的影响。
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Debating Potential Doctrinal Changes in India’s Nuclear Ambitions
The Hindu right-wing Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) made history by winning a clear majority in the 2014 Indian elections. The Party espouses updating and revising India‟s nuclear doctrine and making it relevant to the challenges of current times. Prospective change in the three central tenets of the nuclear doctrine – No First Use (NFU), threat of massive retaliation and a policy of Credible Minimum Deterrence (CMD) – will impact other areas as well. India‟s revision of its support for a nuclear-weapons-free world, moratorium on nuclear testing and the willingness to negotiate the Fissile Material Cutoff Treaty (FMCT) would be problematic. This article examines the likely impact of possible revision in the stated Indian doctrine on deterrence stability and global nuclear politics.
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IPRI Journal
IPRI Journal INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
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