到2035年摩洛哥可再生能源社会经济影响的实证评估:投入产出模型

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI:10.3280/efe2022-002009
Bikrat Fatiha, Mohamed Karim, Znagui Zineb, Ghazi Anouar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该研究的目标是到2035年在摩洛哥确定与太阳能和风能可再生能源技术相关的情景,并模拟其社会经济影响(GDP、按部门和就业增加值)。这包括与趋势情景进行比较,计算这些情景的影响,该趋势情景扩展了最近的发展,并考虑到已经决定的太阳能和风能技术的产业整合政策。所采用的方法基于动态输入输出(IO)模型。本研究讨论了三个模拟场景,用于评估2020-2035年期间集中太阳能、光伏和风能对摩洛哥经济的社会经济影响。此外,在经济和创造就业指标方面,对国家战略中制定的情景和tar-gets进行的比较分析显示,在创造就业和增加值方面具有巨大潜力。
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Empirical evaluation of the socio-economic impacts of renewable energies in Morocco by 2035: An input-output model
The objective of the study is to identify scenarios relating to solar and wind renewable energy technologies by 2035 in Morocco, and to simulate their socio-economic effects (GDP, Value added by sector and employment). This consists in calculating the effect of these scenarios in comparison with a trend scenario that extends recent developments and takes into account the industrial integration policy already decided on both solar and wind technologies. The methodology applied is based on a dynamic Input-Output (IO) model. Three simulation sce- narios are discussed in this study for the assessment of the socio-economic impacts of con- centrated solar power, photovoltaic and wind energy on the Moroccan economy during the period 2020-2035. Also, a comparative analysis between the scenarios developed and the tar- gets indicated in the national strategies, in terms of economic and job creation indicators, reveals a significant potential in terms of job creation and value added.
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来源期刊
Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment
Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
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0.50
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8
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