金融发展对非洲的减贫真的重要吗?

IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Forum for Social Economics Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI:10.1080/07360932.2021.1896564
Segun Thompson Bolarinwa, O. Olaoye, Wajahat Ullah, B. Agbi
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引用次数: 11

摘要

摘要本文重新审视了金融发展与贫困之间的关系。这项研究建立了一个强有力的金融发展指标,反映了非洲的金融发展状况。我们采取这项措施来审查1996年至2015年之间的关系。我们的结果与先验预期一致。总体而言,我们发现金融发展对绝对贫困有减少作用,但这并不影响相对贫困。私人信贷具有减贫作用;然而,全面的金融发展和金融包容性不会影响非洲国家的贫困。此外,稳定和效率会增加贫困水平。考虑到非洲大陆的金融包容性水平较低,如果穷人能够获得信贷,金融发展很可能会减少非洲大陆的贫困。我们的结果应该谨慎解读,商业银行模式可能无法充分解决非洲的贫困问题。因此,在非洲目前的金融发展状况下,政策界对金融发展减贫不应抱有太大期望。
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Does Financial Development Really Matter for Poverty Reduction in Africa?
Abstract This paper revisits the financial development–poverty nexus. The study builds a robust measure of financial development that captures the state of financial development in Africa. We adopt the measure for examining the relationship between 1996 and 2015. Our results agree with a priori expectation. Overall, we find a reducing effect of financial development on absolute poverty but this does not affect relative poverty. Private credit has a poverty-reducing effect; however, total financial development and financial inclusion do not affect poverty in African countries. Also, stability and efficiency increase poverty levels. Considering the low level of financial inclusion in the continent, it is likely that financial development will reduce poverty in the continent if the poor can access credits. Our results should be interpreted with caution, the commercial banking model may not adequately address poverty in Africa. Hence, much should not be expected in policy circles from financial development for poverty reduction in the present state of financial development in Africa.
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15
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