气候变化减缓和适应策略的决定因素:保护动机理论的应用

Q4 Social Sciences Rural Sustainability Research Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI:10.2478/plua-2019-0007
D. Regasa, Nega Abera Akirso
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引用次数: 9

摘要

摘要气候变化是21世纪不可避免的全球性挑战。对于像埃塞俄比亚这样的发展中国家来说,这加剧了确保可持续发展的现有挑战。本研究采用保护动机理论,考察了影响农民实施气候变化适应和缓解策略的因素。该研究采用了一种混合研究方法来评估农民对气候变化威胁的主观理解,并确定决定他们应对气候变化影响的因素。通过焦点小组讨论和访谈收集定性数据。定量信息是通过半结构化调查从296名随机选择的农民中收集的。定性数据主要使用内容分析进行分析,而描述性和推断统计学用于分析定量数据。几乎所有受访者(97%)都认为气候变化正在发生,并威胁到他们的健康。降水量减少、气温升高以及人类和动物疾病的发生被认为代表了气候变化的影响。从国家启动的战略来看,农民主要从事水土保持,他们认为水土保持成本较低,符合当地知识。二元逻辑回归结果显示,感知到的气候变化严重程度、感知到的对气候变化威胁的易感性、感知到自己的应对能力、应对效果和实践成本预测了农民实施气候变化适应和缓解战略的动机。因此,建立一个有弹性的系统应该超越提高气候应对机制的敏感性。政策应侧重于人力资本开发和经济赋权,这将使农民能够实施针对具体情况的适应和缓解战略,从而维持可持续生计。
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Determinants of Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation strategies: An Application of Protection Motivation Theory
Abstract Climate change is an inevitable global challenge of the 21st century. For developing countries like Ethiopia, it intensifies existing challenges towards ensuring sustainable development. Adopting the protection motivation theory, this study examined factors affecting the practice of climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies among farmers. The study employed a mixed research approach to assess the subjective understanding of farmers about climate change threats and identify factors determining their responses to climate change effects. Qualitative data were collected using focus group discussions and interviews. Quantitative information was gathered using semi-structured survey from 296 randomly selected farmers. Qualitative data was dominantly analyzed using content analysis, while descriptive and inferential statistics were applied to analyze quantitative data. Almost all respondents (97%) perceived that climate change was occurring and threatening their wellbeing. Dwindling precipitation, increasing temperature and occurrence of human and animal disease were perceived to represent climate change effects. From nationally initiated strategies, farmers were found to largely practice soil and water conservation, which they perceived as less costly and compatible to local knowledge. The result of binary logistic regression revealed that perceived severity of climate change, perceived susceptibility to climate change threat, perceived own ability to respond, response efficacy, and cost of practices predicted farmers’ motivation to practice climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. Thus, building a resilient system should go beyond sensitizing climate response mechanisms. Policies should focus on human capital development and economic empowerment which would enable farmers to pursue context-specific adaptation and mitigation strategies, thereby maintaining a sustainable livelihood.
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来源期刊
Rural Sustainability Research
Rural Sustainability Research Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
9 weeks
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