{"title":"企业财务危机预警的K-means++改进径向基函数神经网络模型——中国上市公司的实证模型验证","authors":"Danyang Lv, Chong Wu, Linxiao Dong","doi":"10.21314/jrmv.2020.223","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"An early warning of corporate financial crises has long been the focus of investors and enterprises. Integrated early warning models for financial crises perform better than normal models, but most integrated models are very complex, elusive and computationally time-consuming. This paper aims to simplify the early warning model for financial crises by collecting and analyzing the financial data of Chinese special treatment (ST) companies, normally listed companies and cancel special treatment (CST) companies. To further predict the financial risks of companies, we put forward a finance-predicting model based on the k-means++ algorithm and an improved radial basis function neural network (RBF NN), and we compare their respective statistics. We indicate by experiment that combining k-means++ with the improved RBF NN helps to better predict financial risks for companies, which is effective in the risk control of financial management.","PeriodicalId":43447,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Risk Model Validation","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4000,"publicationDate":"2019-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A K-means++-improved Radial Basis Function Neural Network Model for Corporate Financial Crisis Early Warning: An Empirical Model Validation for Chinese Listed Companies\",\"authors\":\"Danyang Lv, Chong Wu, Linxiao Dong\",\"doi\":\"10.21314/jrmv.2020.223\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"An early warning of corporate financial crises has long been the focus of investors and enterprises. Integrated early warning models for financial crises perform better than normal models, but most integrated models are very complex, elusive and computationally time-consuming. This paper aims to simplify the early warning model for financial crises by collecting and analyzing the financial data of Chinese special treatment (ST) companies, normally listed companies and cancel special treatment (CST) companies. To further predict the financial risks of companies, we put forward a finance-predicting model based on the k-means++ algorithm and an improved radial basis function neural network (RBF NN), and we compare their respective statistics. We indicate by experiment that combining k-means++ with the improved RBF NN helps to better predict financial risks for companies, which is effective in the risk control of financial management.\",\"PeriodicalId\":43447,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Risk Model Validation\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-03-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Risk Model Validation\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.21314/jrmv.2020.223\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Risk Model Validation","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21314/jrmv.2020.223","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
A K-means++-improved Radial Basis Function Neural Network Model for Corporate Financial Crisis Early Warning: An Empirical Model Validation for Chinese Listed Companies
An early warning of corporate financial crises has long been the focus of investors and enterprises. Integrated early warning models for financial crises perform better than normal models, but most integrated models are very complex, elusive and computationally time-consuming. This paper aims to simplify the early warning model for financial crises by collecting and analyzing the financial data of Chinese special treatment (ST) companies, normally listed companies and cancel special treatment (CST) companies. To further predict the financial risks of companies, we put forward a finance-predicting model based on the k-means++ algorithm and an improved radial basis function neural network (RBF NN), and we compare their respective statistics. We indicate by experiment that combining k-means++ with the improved RBF NN helps to better predict financial risks for companies, which is effective in the risk control of financial management.
期刊介绍:
As monetary institutions rely greatly on economic and financial models for a wide array of applications, model validation has become progressively inventive within the field of risk. The Journal of Risk Model Validation focuses on the implementation and validation of risk models, and aims to provide a greater understanding of key issues including the empirical evaluation of existing models, pitfalls in model validation and the development of new methods. We also publish papers on back-testing. Our main field of application is in credit risk modelling but we are happy to consider any issues of risk model validation for any financial asset class. The Journal of Risk Model Validation considers submissions in the form of research papers on topics including, but not limited to: Empirical model evaluation studies Backtesting studies Stress-testing studies New methods of model validation/backtesting/stress-testing Best practices in model development, deployment, production and maintenance Pitfalls in model validation techniques (all types of risk, forecasting, pricing and rating)