CGE模型中的内生资本利用——基于PEP-1-1模型的蒙古族应用

IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Journal of Global Economic Analysis Pub Date : 2022-06-24 DOI:10.21642/jgea.070103af
Ragchaasuren Galindev, B. Decaluwé
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文扩展了PEP-1-1模型(小型开放经济体的静态可计算一般均衡或CGE模型),将可变资本利用率纳入其中。它认为,具有固定部门资本的CGE模型可能低估了短期冲击的影响,因为它忽略了行业对其资本利用率(或使用强度)的调整,以应对其经济环境的变化。该模型根据2014年蒙古社会核算矩阵进行了校准。出于示范目的,煤炭出口价格的上涨被认为是一种冲击。与标准PEP-1-1型号相比,扩展型号的冲击影响更大。此外,作为涉及资本利用的模型的特例,推导了PEP-1-1模型的结果。
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Endogenous Capital Utilization in CGE Models: A Mongolian Application with the PEP-1-1 Model
This paper extends the PEP-1-1 model (a static computable general equilibrium, or CGE, model for small open economies) to incorporate variable capital utilization. It argues that CGE models with fixed sectoral capital may underestimate the impact of shocks in the short run by ignoring industries’ adjustment of their capital utilization rate (or intensity of use) in response to changes in their economic environment. The model is calibrated to a 2014 Mongolian social accounting matrix. An increase in the export price of coal is considered as a shock for demonstration purposes. Compared to the standard PEP-1-1 model the impact of the shock is larger in the expanded model. In addition, the results of the PEP-1-1 model are derived as a special case of the model involving capital utilization.
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CiteScore
5.60
自引率
12.00%
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