新冠肺炎后的公共债务

G. Angjeli, Jona Marashi, A. Angjeli
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠肺炎大流行给世界各国带来了许多挑战。受影响最严重的领域之一是正在经历困难局面的经济,我们也应该从另一个角度将其视为重启全球经济的机会。但问题是从哪里开始。事实上,需要考虑一些界限。公共债务是经济的一个主要方面,其限度极为重要。本文概述了公共债务状况,预计到2020年底将如何,并就如何减少公共债务提出了一些建议。这篇文章提出了三个主要问题:1。发达国家的公共债务是否达到了不可持续的水平?2.疫情过后,债务将如何再融资?3.各州将在哪里找到资金来弥补赤字,同时还可以支付会费?遇到的第一个问题是,债务被更多的债务偿还,这使得中央银行使用了向经济注入资金的技术。在所有经济危机中,央行都增加了流通货币,这是一个暂时的解决方案,不会永远持续下去。文章讨论了政府在疫情后可能采取的货币政策。每个选项都有一个解决方案,但这些解决方案并不“理想”。这些选择的副作用可能会带来令人不快的结果。
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PUBLIC DEBT AFTER THE COVID-19
The Covid-19 pandemic brought a number of challenges to all countries of the world. Among the most affected areas is the economy that is going through a difficult situation, that also we should see as an opportunity to restart the global economy in another point of view. But the question that arises is where to start. In fact, some boundaries need to be considered. One of the main aspects of the economy, the limits of which are extremely important, is public debt. This article presents an overview of the public debt situation, how it is projected to be by the end of 2020, providing some proposal on how public debt can be reduced. There are three main questions the article poses: 1. Has the public debt of developed countries reached unsustainable levels? 2. How will the debt be refinanced after the pandemic? 3. Where will states find the money to cover the deficit, but also to pay off dues? The first problem encountered is that the debt is being repaid with more debts, making central banks use the technique of injecting money into the economy. In all economic crises, central banks have increased money in circulation that is a temporary solution and does not last forever. In the article is treated the monetary policy that might be used from the government to pursue the period after the pandemic. Each option comes with a solution, but that solutions are not "ideal". The side effects of these options can bring unpleasant results.
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