Is There a Two-Way Risk between Decreased Testosterone Levels and the Progression and Prognosis of Chronic Kidney Disease? A Cohort Study Based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Database.

Purpose: The causal relationship between the incidence and prognosis of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and serum testosterone levels in patients is not yet fully understood. This study aims to use the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), a large-scale nationally representative sample, to investigate the relationship between CKD and testosterone.

Materials and methods: This study included six NHANES cycles for linear regression analysis, verified by multiple imputation methods. Stratified analysis and subgroup analysis were used to demonstrate the stability of CKD's effect on testosterone. Furthermore, we used Kaplan-Meier plots and log-rank tests to evaluate differences in survival rates between CKD male patients with low and normal levels of testosterone.

Results: From a total of 71,163 subjects, the cohort selected 28,663 eligible participants. Results showed that CKD patients had testosterone levels 28.423 ng/mL (24.762, 32.083) lower than non-CKD patients. The results of multiple imputations (β=27.700, 95% confidence interval: 23.427, 31.974) were consistent with those of linear regression analysis, and the numerical match was good. Stratified regression analysis, and subgroup analysis results showed that CKD had a significant impact on testosterone at different dimensions. Kaplan-Meier plots showed significantly reduced survival rates in low testosterone CKD male patients (p<0.0001).

Conclusions: The results of this big data analysis suggest that there may be a two-way risk between low levels of testosterone and CKD. The testosterone levels of CKD patients were significantly lower than those of the non-CKD population, and CKD patients with low testosterone levels had poorer prognoses. These results suggest that correcting testosterone levels in a timely manner can have preventive and therapeutic effects on the progression of CKD.