Lulu Zhang , Fang Wu , Xin Wei , Hao-Qing Yang , Shixiao Fu , Jinsong Huang , Liang Gao
{"title":"土坡水-力耦合特性的多项式混沌代理与贝叶斯学习","authors":"Lulu Zhang , Fang Wu , Xin Wei , Hao-Qing Yang , Shixiao Fu , Jinsong Huang , Liang Gao","doi":"10.1016/j.rockmb.2022.100023","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As rainfall infiltrates into soil slopes, the hydraulic and mechanical behaviors of soils are interacted. In this study, an efficient probabilistic parameter estimation method for coupled hydro-mechanical behavior in soil slope is proposed. This method integrates the Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) method, the coupled hydro-mechanical modeling, and the Bayesian learning method. A coupled hydro-mechanical numerical model is established for the simulation of behaviors of unsaturated soil slope under rainfall infiltration, following by training a cheap-to-run PCE surrogate to replace it. Probabilistic estimation of soil parameters is conducted based on the Bayesian learning technique with the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation. A numerical example of an unsaturated slope under rainfall infiltration is presented to illustrate the proposed method. The effects of measurement durations and response types on parameter estimation are addressed. The result shows that with the increase of measurement duration, the uncertainties of soil parameters are significantly reduced. The uncertainties of hydraulic properties are reduced significantly using the pore water pressure data, while the uncertainties of soil strength parameters are reduced greatly using the measured displacement data.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101137,"journal":{"name":"Rock Mechanics Bulletin","volume":"2 1","pages":"Article 100023"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Polynomial chaos surrogate and bayesian learning for coupled hydro-mechanical behavior of soil slope\",\"authors\":\"Lulu Zhang , Fang Wu , Xin Wei , Hao-Qing Yang , Shixiao Fu , Jinsong Huang , Liang Gao\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.rockmb.2022.100023\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>As rainfall infiltrates into soil slopes, the hydraulic and mechanical behaviors of soils are interacted. In this study, an efficient probabilistic parameter estimation method for coupled hydro-mechanical behavior in soil slope is proposed. This method integrates the Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) method, the coupled hydro-mechanical modeling, and the Bayesian learning method. A coupled hydro-mechanical numerical model is established for the simulation of behaviors of unsaturated soil slope under rainfall infiltration, following by training a cheap-to-run PCE surrogate to replace it. Probabilistic estimation of soil parameters is conducted based on the Bayesian learning technique with the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation. A numerical example of an unsaturated slope under rainfall infiltration is presented to illustrate the proposed method. The effects of measurement durations and response types on parameter estimation are addressed. The result shows that with the increase of measurement duration, the uncertainties of soil parameters are significantly reduced. The uncertainties of hydraulic properties are reduced significantly using the pore water pressure data, while the uncertainties of soil strength parameters are reduced greatly using the measured displacement data.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":101137,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Rock Mechanics Bulletin\",\"volume\":\"2 1\",\"pages\":\"Article 100023\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Rock Mechanics Bulletin\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2773230422000233\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Rock Mechanics Bulletin","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2773230422000233","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Polynomial chaos surrogate and bayesian learning for coupled hydro-mechanical behavior of soil slope
As rainfall infiltrates into soil slopes, the hydraulic and mechanical behaviors of soils are interacted. In this study, an efficient probabilistic parameter estimation method for coupled hydro-mechanical behavior in soil slope is proposed. This method integrates the Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) method, the coupled hydro-mechanical modeling, and the Bayesian learning method. A coupled hydro-mechanical numerical model is established for the simulation of behaviors of unsaturated soil slope under rainfall infiltration, following by training a cheap-to-run PCE surrogate to replace it. Probabilistic estimation of soil parameters is conducted based on the Bayesian learning technique with the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation. A numerical example of an unsaturated slope under rainfall infiltration is presented to illustrate the proposed method. The effects of measurement durations and response types on parameter estimation are addressed. The result shows that with the increase of measurement duration, the uncertainties of soil parameters are significantly reduced. The uncertainties of hydraulic properties are reduced significantly using the pore water pressure data, while the uncertainties of soil strength parameters are reduced greatly using the measured displacement data.