准备金率翻倍是否导致了1937-38年的经济衰退?准备金率对银行准备金需求和贷款影响的新证据

IF 3.1 1区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Financial Intermediation Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jfi.2023.101056
Charles W. Calomiris , Joseph R. Mason , David C. Wheelock
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引用次数: 0

摘要

1936–37年,美联储将成员银行的准备金率提高了一倍。Friedman和Schwartz(1963)提出了一个著名的观点,即双倍的储备需求增加了,货币供应被迫收缩,他们认为这导致了1937-38年的经济衰退。使用一个关于个别银行的新数据库,我们发现,更高的准备金要求通常不会增加银行的准备金需求或合同贷款,因为准备金要求对大多数银行没有约束力。因此,准备金要求增加对信贷供应的总体影响在经济上很小,在统计上为零。
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Did doubling reserve requirements cause the 1937–38 recession? New evidence on the impact of reserve requirements on bank reserve demand and lending

In 1936–37, the Federal Reserve doubled member banks’ reserve requirements. Friedman and Schwartz (1963) famously argued that the doubling increased reserve demand and forced the money supply to contract, which they argued caused the recession of 1937–38. Using a new database on individual banks, we find that higher reserve requirements did not generally increase banks’ reserve demand or contract lending because reserve requirements were not binding for most banks. Aggregate effects on credit supply from reserve requirement increases were therefore economically small and statistically zero.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.60
自引率
7.70%
发文量
45
期刊介绍: The Journal of Financial Intermediation seeks to publish research in the broad areas of financial intermediation, financial market structure, corporate finance, risk management, and valuation.
期刊最新文献
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