商品市场和股票市场之间已实现的高阶矩溢出:来自中国的证据

IF 3.7 4区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Commodity Markets Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jcomm.2022.100275
Hongwei Zhang , Chen Jin , Elie Bouri , Wang Gao , Yahua Xu
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引用次数: 20

摘要

我们使用2018年3月26日至2020年10月22日8个中国商品期货和中国股市指数的5分钟数据构建了每日实现波动率、偏度和峰度,然后分析了这些市场之间实现时刻的动态溢出。研究结果表明,在“中美贸易争端”和“新冠肺炎”等冲击时期,商品市场和股票市场之间的溢出效应加剧。波动性溢出比偏度溢出或峰度溢出相对更强;然而,高阶矩的溢出效应似乎包含了额外的信息。白银市场的冲击影响实现了其他市场的瞬间。大豆、玉米、铝和石油市场受到其他市场的影响。小麦作为净传递体对股票和商品市场之间溢出系统的贡献仅在高阶实现时刻观察到。OLS和分位数回归的结果表明,总溢出效应通常受到美国股市、经济不确定性和新冠肺炎疫情的影响。
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Realized higher-order moments spillovers between commodity and stock markets: Evidence from China

We construct daily realized volatility, skewness, and kurtosis using 5-min data of eight Chinese commodity futures and the Chinese stock market index from March 26, 2018 to October 22, 2020, then analyse the dynamic spillovers of realized moments among these markets. The results show that the spillover effects between commodity and stock markets intensify during shock periods such as ‘trade disputes between China and the United States’ and ‘COVID-19’. Volatility spillovers are relatively stronger than spillovers in skewness or spillovers in kurtosis; however, spillovers in higher-order moments seem to contain additional information. Shocks from the silver market influence realized moments of other markets. Soybean, corn, aluminium, and oil markets are affected by other markets. The contribution of wheat as a net transmitter to the system of spillovers between stock and commodity markets is only observed at higher-order realized moments. The results from OLS and quantile regressions show that the total spillovers are generally affected by the US stock market, economic uncertainties, and the COVID-19 outbreak.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
2.40%
发文量
53
期刊介绍: The purpose of the journal is also to stimulate international dialog among academics, industry participants, traders, investors, and policymakers with mutual interests in commodity markets. The mandate for the journal is to present ongoing work within commodity economics and finance. Topics can be related to financialization of commodity markets; pricing, hedging, and risk analysis of commodity derivatives; risk premia in commodity markets; real option analysis for commodity project investment and production; portfolio allocation including commodities; forecasting in commodity markets; corporate finance for commodity-exposed corporations; econometric/statistical analysis of commodity markets; organization of commodity markets; regulation of commodity markets; local and global commodity trading; and commodity supply chains. Commodity markets in this context are energy markets (including renewables), metal markets, mineral markets, agricultural markets, livestock and fish markets, markets for weather derivatives, emission markets, shipping markets, water, and related markets. This interdisciplinary and trans-disciplinary journal will cover all commodity markets and is thus relevant for a broad audience. Commodity markets are not only of academic interest but also highly relevant for many practitioners, including asset managers, industrial managers, investment bankers, risk managers, and also policymakers in governments, central banks, and supranational institutions.
期刊最新文献
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