十年后商品市场的金融化

IF 3.7 4区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Commodity Markets Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jcomm.2023.100313
Wenjin Kang , Ke Tang , Ningli Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这项研究中,我们检验了唐和熊(2012)的关键发现在其发表后的最近几年样本中是否成立。我们还更详细地探讨了金融化对商品期货市场不同方面的影响。我们的分析表明,金融化导致商品和股票市场回报之间的相关性显著增加。这种收益相关性结构的变化对不同的商品和股票市场收益计算方法是稳健的,并在最近的后唐和熊(2012)子样本期内持续存在。我们发现,金融化后,非商业交易者的重要性上升,指数化商品期货之间的成对相关性增加,商品期货市场的基础变得更加负面。
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Financialization of commodity markets ten years later

In this study, we examine whether the key findings in Tang and Xiong (2012) hold in the more recent sample years after their publication. We also explore the impact of financialization on different aspects of commodity futures markets in more detail. Our analysis shows that financialization leads to a significant increase of the correlation between the commodity and stock market returns. This return correlation structure change is robust to different commodity and stock market return computation methods, and is persistent for the more recent post-Tang-and-Xiong-(2012) subsample period. We find that after financialization, the importance of non-commercial traders elevates, the pairwise correlation between the indexed commodity futures increases, and the basis becomes more negative on commodity futures markets.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
2.40%
发文量
53
期刊介绍: The purpose of the journal is also to stimulate international dialog among academics, industry participants, traders, investors, and policymakers with mutual interests in commodity markets. The mandate for the journal is to present ongoing work within commodity economics and finance. Topics can be related to financialization of commodity markets; pricing, hedging, and risk analysis of commodity derivatives; risk premia in commodity markets; real option analysis for commodity project investment and production; portfolio allocation including commodities; forecasting in commodity markets; corporate finance for commodity-exposed corporations; econometric/statistical analysis of commodity markets; organization of commodity markets; regulation of commodity markets; local and global commodity trading; and commodity supply chains. Commodity markets in this context are energy markets (including renewables), metal markets, mineral markets, agricultural markets, livestock and fish markets, markets for weather derivatives, emission markets, shipping markets, water, and related markets. This interdisciplinary and trans-disciplinary journal will cover all commodity markets and is thus relevant for a broad audience. Commodity markets are not only of academic interest but also highly relevant for many practitioners, including asset managers, industrial managers, investment bankers, risk managers, and also policymakers in governments, central banks, and supranational institutions.
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