辐射处理的目标、策略和项目选择

Ma Zue-Teh , Zhou Liang-Yi
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摘要

近二十年来,中国在辐射处理的研发领域取得了一些成果。其中许多具有较好的应用价值,并已投入中试或试生产。从系统分析的角度看,辐射处理作为一种技术体系,有其自身的发展规律,目前在研发和应用领域都进入了快速发展的阶段。作为发展辐射的有利因素,已经制订了两项重要的政策;首先,科技发展政策应该有利于国民经济的发展;其次,发展原子科学技术的政策重点应转向民用。这两项政策必将极大地促进辐射加工的研发,特别是辐射加工的转移和扩散。如今,辐射加工与国民经济的联系越来越紧密。最近对这个领域的投资提出了许多建议。因此,研究辐射处理的发展策略、经济效益和项目选择标准具有重要意义。本文从系统分析和有效性分析的角度,对中国辐射加工技术转移的现状和特点进行了研究。本文还从技术生命周期的角度对这一问题进行了分析,以期确立一个现实的发展目标和相应的发展战略。在此基础上,提出了项目选择模型和适宜的扩散和转移形式。
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Goal, strategy and project selection for the radiation processing

In the past two decades, a number of results in the field of R/D of the radiation processing have been attained in China. Many of them are of great value in application and have been put into pilot plant or trial production. From the viewpoint of system analysis, the radiation processing as a technological system follows its own law of development, now entering a stage of rapid development in the areas of R/D and application. As a favourable factor for the development of radiation, two significant policies have been formulated; first, the policy of development of science and technology should contribute to the development of national economy; secondly the policy of the development of atomic science and technology emphasis should be shifted to civil purposes. These two policies are bound to greatly promote the R/D of the radiation processing, especially its transfer and diffusion. Now, the linkage between the radiation processing and national economy is getting closer and closer. A lot of proposals for investment in this field have been put forward recently. Therefore, it is vital to make investigations into the strategy for the developing, economic effectiveness and the criteria in project selection of the radiation processing.

In this article, we study the present state and the Characteristics of the technology transfer of radiation processing in China from the viewpoint of system analysis and of effectiveness. We also analyse this issue in the light of the concept of life cycle of technology so as to establish, we hope, a realistic goal and an appropriate development strategy. Based on this, a model of project selection and suitable forms of diffusion and transfer are suggested.

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