自愿使用经过杀虫剂处理的牛可以消除非洲昏睡病

Q3 Mathematics Letters in Biomathematics Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI:10.1080/23737867.2015.1111777
K. Crawford, A. Lancaster, Hyunju Oh, J. Rychtář
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引用次数: 12

摘要

非洲昏睡病是一种由布鲁氏锥虫寄生虫引起的病媒传播疾病。该病由采采蝇传播,防治该病最有效的策略之一是使用经杀虫剂处理的牛。在本文中,我们提出了一个博弈论模型,在该模型中,个体农民选择自己的ITC水平以最大化自己的利益,有效地平衡了ITC成本和奶牛感染疾病的风险。我们发现,即使ITC的使用是严格自愿的,当ITC的成本不是太高时,最佳的ITC使用也会消除疾病。这与疫苗游戏的类似场景形成鲜明对比,在这种情况下,自愿接种疫苗永远不会完全消除疾病。
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A voluntary use of insecticide-treated cattle can eliminate African sleeping sickness
African sleeping sickness is a vector-borne disease caused by the parasite Trypanosoma brucei. It is transmitted by tsetse flies and one of the most effective strategies to combat the disease is the use of insecticide-treated cattle (ITC). In this paper, we present a game-theoretical model, in which individual farmers choose their own level of ITC in order to maximize their own benefits, effectively balancing the cost of ITC and the risk of their cows contracting the disease. We find that even when the usage of ITC is strictly voluntary, the optimal ITC usage will eliminate the disease when the cost of ITC is not prohibitively large. This is in a sharp contrast with similar scenarios of vaccination games where a voluntary vaccination never eliminates a disease entirely.
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来源期刊
Letters in Biomathematics
Letters in Biomathematics Mathematics-Statistics and Probability
CiteScore
2.00
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0.00%
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0
审稿时长
14 weeks
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