亚洲主要国家股票市场的分形结构

IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2014-12-30 DOI:10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2014.18.4.286
Samet Günay
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在本研究中,我们检验了日经225指数、恒生指数、上海证券交易所指数和新加坡海峡时报指数的分形结构。通过非参数、半参数长记忆测试和分形维数计算进行实证分析。为了避免虚假的长记忆特征,除了使用去趋势波动分析(DFA)外,我们还使用了Smith(2005)改进的GPH方法。分形维数的计算采用Box-Counting和Variation试验。结果显示,虽然任何指数的对数回报都不存在长记忆性,但我们在恒生指数、上证指数和海峡时报指数的波动率中发现了长记忆性的证据。然而,无论是DFA还是修正GPH检验,我们都没有发现日经225指数波动率存在长记忆的迹象。分形维数分析也表明,除日经225指数外,所有原始指数价格均具有分形结构特征。这些发现表明,日经225指数在这些市场中具有最有效的市场属性。
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Fractal Structure of the Stock Markets of Leading Asian Countries
In this study, we examined the fractal structure of the Nikkei225, HangSeng, Shanghai Stock Exchange and Straits Times Index of Singapore. Empirical analysis was performed via non-parametric, semi-parametric long memory tests and also fractal dimension calculations. In order to avoid spurious long memory features, besides the Detrended Fluctuations Analysis (DFA), we also used Smith's (2005) modified GPH method. As for fractal dimension calculations, they were conducted via Box-Counting and Variation tests. According to the results, while there is no long memory property in log returns of any index, we found evidence for long memory properties in the volatility of the HangSeng, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Straits Times Index. However, we could not find any sign of long memory in the volatility of Nikkei225 index using either the DFA or modified GPH test. Fractal dimension analysis also demonstrated that all raw index prices have fractal structure properties except for the Nikkei225 index. These findings showed that the Nikkei225 index has the most efficient market properties among these markets.
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来源期刊
自引率
12.50%
发文量
10
审稿时长
10 weeks
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