调查方案对夏季繁殖期无尾蚁探测概率和场地占用估算的影响

Michelle M. Gooch, Aubrey M. Heupel, M. Dorcas, S. Price
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引用次数: 57

摘要

近年来,两栖动物数量的减少迫切需要大规模、长期的监测工作,许多利用电话调查的两栖动物监测项目已经建立起来。电话调查可以是有效的监测工具;然而,调查方案之间的差异可能会影响调查结果。在监测无尾动物时,如果不考虑探测概率,就会导致对场地占用情况的不准确推断,因为除非探测概率为1,否则调查数据中未探测到物种并不一定意味着该物种不存在。我们使用了一种基于可能性的方法,以计算机程序PRESENCE的形式,来估计北卡罗莱纳州西部皮埃蒙特夏季繁殖的anurans的检测概率和场地占用率。利用呼叫调查的检测数据,我们评估了5种无尾猿物种的可检测性和站点占用率如何受到以下因素的影响:1)每个站点的聆听时间,2)每个站点的调查数量,以及3)样本和站点特定的协变量。我们发现,在不同的调查时间和采样场合,物种之间在检测概率和场地占用方面存在相当大的差异。虽然有13%的物种在3分钟后被发现,但更长时间的调查并没有显著提高单个物种的可探测性。我们发现,每个物种的可检出性随采样场合的变化比随调查时间的变化更大。协变量对物种间的占用率和可探测性有不同的影响。在一个季节内对每个站点进行多次调查是必要的,以消除有偏差的检测概率,但我们发现3或5分钟的调查足以检测在调查时所有繁殖的物种。
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The effects of survey protocol on detection probabilities and site occupancy estimates of summer breeding anurans
Recent declines in amphibian populations have created an urgent need for large-scale, long- term monitoring efforts and many anuran monitoring programs have been established that utilize calling surveys. Calling surveys can be effective monitoring tools; however, differences among survey protocols may bias survey results. Failure to take into account detection probabilities when monitoring anurans can lead to inaccurate inferences about site occupancy, since non-detections in survey data do not necessarily mean that a species is absent unless the probability of detection is 1. We used a likelihood-based method, in the form of the computer program PRESENCE, to estimate detection probabilities and site occupancy rates for summer-breeding anurans in the Western Piedmont of North Carolina. Using detection data from calling surveys, we evaluated how detectability and site occupancy for five anuran species were influenced by 1) time spent listening at each site, 2) number of surveys per site, and 3) sample- and site-specific covariates. We found considerable variation among species with regards to detection probability and site occupancy across survey duration and sampling occasion. Although 13% of all species detection occurred after 3 min, longer surveys did not significantly increase detectability of individual species. We found that detectability varied more with sampling occasion than with survey duration for each species. Covariates had differing effects on occupancy and detectability among individual species. Multiple surveys per site within a season are necessary to eliminate biased detection probabilities, but we found that 3- or 5-min surveys were adequate for detecting all species breeding at the time of the survey.
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