葡萄酒行业的气候变化适应策略:累积招股说明书理论的应用

IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Aestimum Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI:10.13128/AESTIMUM-24929
S. Sacchelli, Sara Fabbrizzi, Maria Cipollaro
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该工作分析了葡萄种植业应对极端事件和气候变化的适应策略。用于复杂系统分析的工具与概率方法和运筹学相结合,以解释不确定性和农民的主观感知。期望效用和累积前景理论的概念被用来比较预期损害和预期损害。研究区域位于基安蒂古典区(托斯卡纳)。风机、防雹网和应急灌溉相结合是当前情景下的策略。未来的气候预测表明需要固定的灌溉系统和修改生产纪律。由于地区的特殊性,多重风险保险似乎不是一个有吸引力的策略。
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Strategie di adattamento al cambiamento climatico per il settore vitivinicolo: un’applicazione della Teoria del Prospetto Cumulativo
The work analyses adaptation strategies to cope with extreme events and climate change in viticultural sector. Tools for complex systems analysis are integrated with probabilistic methods and operational research to account for uncertainty and the subjective perception of farmers. The concepts of Expected Utility and Cumulative Prospect Theory are considered to compare expected and prospected damages. The study area is located in the Chianti Classico district (Tuscany). A combination of fans, anti-hail nets and emergency irrigation is suggested as strategies in current scenario. The future climate projections suggest the need of fixed irrigation systems and the modification of production disciplinary. Multi-risk insurance does not seem to be an attractive strategy due to area peculiarities.
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来源期刊
Aestimum
Aestimum ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
4
审稿时长
12 weeks
期刊介绍: Aestimum is a peer-reviewed Journal dedicated to the methodological study of appraisal and land economics. Established in 1976 by the Italian Association of Appraisers and Land Economists, which was legally recognized by Ministerial Decree, March 1993. Topics of interests comprise rural, urban and environmental appraisal, evaluation of public investments and land use planning. All the areas under discussion are addressed to the International scene. The interdisciplinary approach is one of the mainstays of this editorial project and all of the above mentioned topics are developed taking into consideration the economic, legal and urban planning aspects. Aestimum is biannual Journal and publishes articles both in Italian and English. Articles submitted are subjected to a double blind peer review process.
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