结构变化与经济增长:卡尔多里安增长模型的进步与局限性

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS PSL Quarterly Review Pub Date : 2017-05-04 DOI:10.13133/2037-3643_70.280_3
Guilherme R. Magacho
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引用次数: 5

摘要

许多不同的方法解决了为什么一些发展中国家能够缩小与发达经济体的收入差距,而另一些却不能的问题。然而,很少有办法考虑到结构变化的过程。本文回顾了结构变化与国家长期经济增长之间关系的卡尔多里安方法的理论基础,强调了其最近的发展及其局限性。卡尔多认为,特定行业的结构性变化通过一个累积的因果关系过程,不断提高国家的增长率。尽管他一直在强调这一点,但直到最近卡尔多里安模型才明确地纳入了这一特征。然而,这些模型在展示开放经济中累积因果关系过程如何发生方面仍然面临重大限制。本文讨论了最相关的这些限制,并提出了未来方向的选择。JEL代码:041,E12, F43
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Structural change and economic growth: Advances and limitations of Kaldorian growth models
Many different approaches have addressed the issue of why were some developing countries able to reduce the income gap with developed economies while others were not. However, few approaches take into account the process of structural change. This paper reviews the theoretical basis of the Kaldorian approach for the relationship between structural change and countries’ long-term economic growth, emphasising its recent developments and its limitations. According to Kaldor, structural change towards specific sectors continuously increases countries’ growth rates through a cumulative causation process. Although he had stressed it exhaustively, only recently Kaldorian models have explicitly incorporated this feature. Nevertheless, these models still face significant limitations to show how a cumulative causation process takes place in an open economy. The paper discusses the most relevant such limitations, and suggests options for future directions. JEL codes: 041, E12, F43
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
0
审稿时长
20 weeks
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