古巴的下一步是什么?以及本期的内容

Campbell
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引用次数: 0

摘要

4月,联合国拉丁美洲和加勒比经济委员会(拉加经委会)报告称,预计2020年古巴经济将萎缩3.7%(如果这反映了古巴经济在如此外部冲击下的强劲表现,应与该岛所属的整个拉丁美洲和加勒比地区预计5.3%的平均萎缩幅度相比较)。[…与那些将古巴面临的所有问题都归咎于“政府失误”的人相反,这些数据并不支持古巴因COVID-19而面临的严重收缩是该国经济政策的结果,甚至主要是由该国的经济政策加剧的。[…除此之外,再一次独立于人们对旅游业作为一种人类经济活动的可取性的看法(本文作者非常关注,尽管更多的是其性质而不是其数量),数据不支持古巴旅游业在过去四分之一世纪的发展使其经济“过度依赖”旅游业的任何有意义的比较经济措施。在世界范围内,旅游业对世界经济活动的总贡献(或者更准确地说,是标准国民核算作为GDP跟踪的部分)和世界就业的一个四舍五入的近似数字是各占10%。
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What's next for Cuba? And this issue's contents
In April the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) reported that the Cuban economy was expected to shrink by 3.7 percent in 2020 (which, if reflected on as a comment on the robustness of the Cuban economy to such an external shock, should be considered against the expected 5.3 percent average contraction of the Latin America and the Caribbean region as a whole that the Island is part of). [...]contrary to those who blame every problem Cuba ever faces on 'errors by the government', the data do not support that the serious contraction that Cuba is facing from COVID-19 is the result of, or even has been primarily exacerbated by, the country's economic policies. [...]beyond that, and once again independent of one's views about the desirability of tourism as a human economic activity (which this author has great concerns with, though more with its nature than with its amount), the data do not support that the development of the tourism industry in Cuba over the last quarter century has left its economy 'overdependent' on tourism by any meaningful comparative economic measure. Worldwide, a rounded approximate number for tourism's total contribution to world economic activity (or more correctly, the part of that which standard national accounting keeps track of as GDP) and of world employment is 10 percent of each.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.40
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1
期刊最新文献
Cuban Exceptionalism and Leader Succession: The End of Charismatic Authority in Cuba The aggression and the hard times continue, and in this issue The US blockade, and the “1 cent 4 Cuba” campaign to challenge it Local development in Cuba from a higher education perspective Comportamiento del cumplimiento tributario de los trabajadores por cuenta propia en Cuba
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