美国和中东欧三国市场创新对波动性的不对称影响:基于EGARCH的方法

J. Olbryś
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本研究的主要目标是利用单变量EGARCH方法,研究创新对美国和中东欧- 3三个最大新兴市场波动性的不对称影响。我们比较了2007年1月3日至2011年12月30日整个样本的实证结果,以及两个相等的子样本:“下行市场”时期和“上行市场”时期。在所有市场中都存在明显的负不对称效应,在与2007年美国次贷危机密切相关的“下行市场”时期尤其明显。
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Asymmetric Impact of Innovations on Volatility in the Case of the US and CEEC-3 Markets: EGARCH Based Approach
The main goal of this study is to investigate the asymmetric impact of innovations on volatility in the case of the US and three biggest emerging CEEC–3 markets, using univariate EGARCH approach. We compare empirical results for both the whole sample from Jan 3, 2007 to Dec 30, 2011, and two equal subsamples: the ‘down market’ period, and the ‘up market’ period. Pronounced negative asymmetry effects are presented in the case of all markets, and are especially strong in the ‘down market’ period, which is closely connected with the 2007 US subprime crisis period.
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