不同市场结构下东盟与中日韩自由贸易协定的实证分析

IF 0.2 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2012-12-01 DOI:10.15057/25386
Sang‐Ho Lee, Chung-sil Kim
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引用次数: 3

摘要

在本文中,我们研究了东盟+3国家之间可能的自由贸易协定的经济效应,然后比较了这些自由贸易协定的经济效果。我们的主要发现如下。首先,不完全竞争模式下的韩国、中国、东盟三国自由贸易协定(FTA_KCA)将使韩国的国内生产总值(GDP)增加1.02%,这对韩国来说是次优选择。第二,根据行业效应,我们确定中国加入自贸协定后农产品产量会减少。这是因为中国在农产品生产和出口方面具有比较优势。
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A CGE ANALYSIS OF THE ASEAN+3 FREE TRADE AGREEMENT UNDER DIFFERENT MARKET STRUCTURES
In this paper, we investigate the economic effects of possible free trade agreements among ASEAN+3 countries, and then compare the economic results of those FTAs. Our main findings are as follows. First, the trilateral FTA among Korea, China, and ASEAN (FTA_KCA) under the imperfectly competitive model, which would bring about a 1.02% increase in GDP for Korea, is the second-best choice for Korea. Second, according to the sectoral effects, we determined that the output of agricultural products would decrease when China joins the FTA. This is because China has a comparative advantage in the production and export of agricultural products.
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