分位数回归方法对新兴股市高共矩与资产定价的影响

Toan Huynh Luu Duc, S. Nguyen
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文研究了2005年4月至2017年11月期间所有25个新兴股票市场(MSCI -摩根士丹利资本国际)的第三和第四个时刻对周股票收益的影响。在风险度量中,我们采用传统的CAPM方法,结合协偏度和协峰度表示非线性形状,通过对等权重的投资组合进行排序,按降序估计分位数回归下产生的收益。研究结果表明,市场溢价、共偏度溢价和共峰度溢价三种溢价对各国股票收益的影响分别为1%;5%;五分位数回归方法的显著性水平为10%。因此,与传统CAPM相比,我们的共矩较高的模型对新兴市场证券有更好的解释。重要的是,投资者应该增加更多的共偏性证券,消除共峰度(或减少这一因素),以在25个发展中市场中产生更多的回报。
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Higher co-moments and asset pricing on emerging stock markets by quantile regression approach
This paper investigates the role of the third and fourth moments which impact on weekly stock return for the all twenty-five emerging stock markets (featured by MSCI - Morgan Stanley Capital International) during the period from April 2005 to November 2017. We employ the traditional CAPM combined with co-skewness and co-kurtosis representing nonlinear shape in risk measurement to estimate return generating under quantile regression in descending order by sorting equally weighted portfolios. The findings show that three of premium including market premium, co-skewness premium and co-kurtosis premium has influenced stock return in each country by 1%; 5%; 10% significance level with five-quantile regression approach. Then, our models with higher co-moments have better explanation for securities in emerging markets rather than traditional CAPM. Importantly, the investors should add more co-skewness securities and eliminate co-kurtosis (or less this factor) to generate more returns among 25 developing markets.
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期刊介绍: The Business and Economic Horizons (BEH) is an international peer-reviewed journal that publishes high quality theoretical, empirical, and review papers covering the broad spectrum of research in areas of economics, business, management, and finance. The journal aim is to bridge the gap between the theory and the observed data in these constantly developing domains. BEH Editorial Board welcomes the high-quality original research articles and review papers that verify the well-grounded and the emerging theories by employing the econometric, statistical methods or other relevant empirical methods in theoretical and applied economic analysis. BEH does not discriminate articles utilizing the non-mainstream approaches such as experimental research, institutional analysis, other variations of heterodox and developmental economic studies. Therefore, the submissions in any field of micro- and macroeconomics, business ethics, economic policy or finance are appropriate for this journal. We hope, the provided contributions will help to understand the contemporary challenges faced by the private and public sector and will establish an international forum of empirical research.
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